CrowdtellsTopic
Politics
Crowdtells tracks 8 live Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi, ranked by how much money is behind them and how fast they're moving. Below: what the crowd is pricing right now, the latest swings, and where the odds run ahead of the headlines.
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Trump to Nominate Todd Blanche as Attorney General
With 77% odds of Todd Blanche becoming Trump's next Attorney General, the question seems to be all but settled. According to multiple sources, President Trump is set to nominate…
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Trump’s Greenland Purchase Bets Favor No Deal
The market favors a $0/no-acquisition outcome at 81%, reflecting legal and political barriers highlighted by outlets. Legal scholars and fact-checkers underscore Greenland’s…
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Trump seeks impeachment expungement
With 63% indicating a likely impeachment, President Trump is working on a plan to expunge his two impeachments, as reported by multiple outlets. The essential background is that…
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US eyes Greenland amid NATO security debate
With the crowd pricing a 22% chance that the United States will acquire any part of Greenland before Jan 21 2029, the debate has resurfaced. Trump’s push, revived through envoy…
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Trump's Greenland ambitions spark market frenzy
With 23% probability of a US purchase, markets are betting on Trump's ambitions. The idea of the US buying Greenland, an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark, was…
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Trump names Keith Sonderling as new Labor Secretary amid Cabinet shakeup
With 52% odds on Keith Sonderling as Trump’s next Labor Secretary, the market reflects uncertainty despite multiple outlets reporting his nomination. Lori Chavez-DeRemer’s exit,…
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Trump administration sees resignations
With the crowd giving a 78% chance against it, President Trump's administration has seen several high-profile departures, including Tulsi Gabbard as national intelligence…
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Trump nominates former SEC chief Jay Clayton as DNI
With the crowd pricing Jay Clayton’s chances at 96%, Trump’s nomination of the former SEC chairman as Director of National Intelligence has sparked swift coverage. Reporters note…