Crowdtells

Politics Kalshi June 16, 2026 Crowd ahead of press

Trump seeks impeachment expungement

Kalshi prices this 65% yes.

With 65% indicating a likely impeachment, President Trump is working on a plan to expunge his two impeachments, as reported by multiple outlets. The essential background is that Trump has been impeached twice, and this move is seen as an attempt to clear his record. What is at stake is the historical record of his presidency, and what to watch next is whether Congress will approve his request. The $270K traded on this market suggests moderate interest in the outcome.

Market lensThe crowd's money is ahead of the press in anticipating impeachment, despite the recent focus on expungement.

What the coverage agrees on

  • Trump is working on a plan to expunge his impeachments
  • The plan is seen as an attempt to clear his record

Where sources diverge

  • Whether Congress will approve Trump's request
  • The implications of expungement for Trump's historical record

How outlets frame it

  • The New Republic: Trump wants to 'expel' representatives who threaten to impeach him, a more aggressive stance than reported by other outlets

The numbers behind this

Kalshi prices this 65% yes.

24h +3.0 pts

$270K traded · $685 in the last day · $80.4K open interest

Resolves on: If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Pricing Kalshi 65%

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Sources

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