Topic

Iran

Crowdtells tracks 2 live Iran markets on Polymarket and Kalshi, ranked by how much money is behind them and how fast they're moving. Below: what the crowd is pricing right now, the latest swings, and where the odds run ahead of the headlines.

• US and Iran reach agreement

  June 16, 2026·Polymarket·June 15 100%·8 sources

  The US and Iran have reached an agreement, with multiple outlets reporting a ceasefire deal. The details of the agreement remain unclear, but it is expected to end the war and…

• US and Iran reach peace deal

  June 16, 2026·Polymarket·June 30 100%·8 sources

  The US and Iran have reportedly reached a deal to end hostilities, with details to be released soon. This development is driving the current market confidence in a permanent peace…