Crowdtells

Politics Kalshi June 16, 2026

Trump administration sees resignations

Kalshi prices this 78% no.

With the crowd giving a 78% chance against it, President Trump's administration has seen several high-profile departures, including Tulsi Gabbard as national intelligence director, citing her husband's health, and other key officials, in a term marked by turnover, though the total money traded on this market remains $47.3K. The essential background is that these resignations have raised questions about the stability and continuity of the administration. What is at stake is the ability of the administration to effectively govern and implement its policies. What to watch next is how the administration will respond to these departures and whether they will have a significant impact on its operations.

Market lensThe crowd's money suggests that it is not expecting Trump to resign, despite the recent departures, which have not significantly impacted the market.

What the coverage agrees on

  • Tulsi Gabbard has resigned as national intelligence director
  • Several high-profile officials have left the Trump administration

The numbers behind this

Kalshi prices this 78% no.

24h +2.0 pts

$47.3K traded · $301 in the last day · $14.2K open interest

Resolves on: If the President of the United States elected for the 2025-2029 term resigns the office, then the market resolves to Yes.

Pricing Kalshi 78%

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Sources