Commodities Kalshi September 24, 2026
WTI Crude Oil Price Forecast: $75/Bbl Target Nears
WTI price at year end?
Kalshi prices this 75 or above at 89%. The reporting broadly agrees.
WTI crude oil prices continue to be a focal point for investors, with the end-of-year settlement price on December 31, 2026, drawing particular attention around the $75 per barrel threshold. While recent coverage offers a broad outlook for crude oil, it suggests a dynamic environment for prices. Prediction markets indicate a strong probability of WTI settling at or above $75/Bbl by year-end, with the odds currently at 89%.
Background
The crude oil market has seen significant fluctuations throughout the period leading up to this forecast, with various factors influencing price movements. As the December 31, 2026, resolution date approaches, the question of whether WTI will settle above $75 per barrel remains a key point of interest for market participants and analysts alike. This specific price level represents a significant benchmark for the commodity's performance.
How outlets frame it
- LiteFinance: Provides a comprehensive long-term forecast for WTI and Brent crude oil prices, extending beyond 2026, without focusing on immediate catalysts for the specific $75/Bbl level.
What to watch
With approximately 98 days remaining until the December 31, 2026 resolution, market participants will be closely monitoring global supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and economic indicators that could influence WTI crude oil prices. Any significant shifts in these factors could impact whether the price settles above the $75/Bbl mark.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this 75 or above at 89%.
24h +4.0 pts
$40.2K traded · $137 in the last day · $24.7K open interest
Resolves on: If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 75 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 89%
Sources
Frequently asked questions
WTI price at year end?
Kalshi prices this 75 or above at 89%. The reporting broadly agrees.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If the settlement price of WTI Crude Oil on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST is above 75 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 1 source and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.