Crowdtells

Climate and Weather Kalshi July 1, 2026

New York City received over one inch of rain in June 2026

Rain in NYC in Jun 2026?

Kalshi prices this Above 1 inches at 99%.

New York City received more than one inch of rain in June 2026. This outcome followed an extreme heat warning issued for the July 4th weekend, suggesting a shift in weather patterns. The market had favored this outcome, with the odds on "Above 1 inches" indicating strong confidence leading up to the settlement.

How outlets frame it

  • ABC7 New York: Extreme heat was a dominant feature of the period leading into July, prompting warnings.

The numbers behind this

Kalshi prices this Above 1 inches at 99%.

24h 0.0 pts

$47.3K traded · $6.3K in the last day · $18.8K open interest

Resolves on: If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

Pricing Kalshi 99%

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Sources

Frequently asked questions

Rain in NYC in Jun 2026?

Kalshi prices this Above 1 inches at 99%.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves on: If the total precipitation at Central Park, New York City in Jun 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

How are these odds set?

Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.

AI-written briefing grounded in 1 source and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.