Climate and Weather Kalshi June 23, 2026
San Francisco temperature on June 22, 2026, ends at 67° or below
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jun 22, 2026?
Kalshi prices this 67° or below at 99%.
The maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco on June 22, 2026, was 67° or below. This outcome was largely expected by forecasters, with a marine layer expanding overnight and spotty drizzle expected in the morning. The AccuWeather forecast noted this trend, indicating a cooler day. The crowd had overwhelmingly favored this outcome, with 99% probability on '67° or below', and the money moved sharply in the last 24 hours, with a +92 pts move.
Background
The weather in San Francisco on June 22, 2026, was influenced by a marine layer and cooler temperatures. This was part of a larger weather pattern that had been tracked by forecasters and the prediction market.
The precedent
- San Francisco's temperature has been tracked by the National Weather Service for over 100 years.
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- The temperature in San Francisco on June 22, 2026, was 67° or below.
- A marine layer and cooler temperatures were expected in the region.
How outlets frame it
- ABC7 Bay Area: The marine layer expanded overnight, bringing cooler temperatures and spotty drizzle.
- San Francisco Chronicle: The heat may rewrite the record books in other areas, but not in San Francisco.
What to watch
The temperature outcome may impact outdoor events scheduled in the coming days, including athletics events at San Francisco Giants on June 23, 24, and 25, 2026.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this 67° or below at 99%.
24h +92.0 pts
$19.9K traded · $16.5K in the last day · $9.2K open interest
Resolves on: If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 22, 2026, is less than 68° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 99%
Sources
- AccuWeather Forecast: Marine layer expands overnight; tomorrow morning begins with spotty drizzle abc7news.com
- A red alert over France, and heat that may rewrite the record books sfchronicle.com
- World Cup 2026 weather updates: Severe storms, heat test fans and venues across host cities accuweather.com
- UKHSA Updates Hot Weather Guidance for Schools to Protect Pupils akses.co.id
- Monday evening First Alert Weather forecast with Darren Peck - 6/22/2026 cbsnews.com
- Mind-blowing March heat wave crests; records melt from Arizona to Minnesota yaleclimateconnections.org
- Today's forecast nbcmiami.com
- San Diego weather: Warming trend, increasing humidity nbcsandiego.com
Frequently asked questions
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jun 22, 2026?
Kalshi prices this 67° or below at 99%.
What do the sources agree on?
The temperature in San Francisco on June 22, 2026, was 67° or below. A marine layer and cooler temperatures were expected in the region.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 22, 2026, is less than 68° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 8 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.