Climate and Weather Kalshi June 19, 2026
San Francisco's temperature on June 18, 2026, under scrutiny
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jun 18, 2026?
Kalshi prices this 72° to 73° at 99%. The reporting broadly agrees.
San Francisco's temperature on June 18, 2026, is expected to be a crucial factor in determining the city's weather conditions. The National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) will provide the official reading. According to CBS News, a First Alert Weather forecast for June 18, 2026, is in place. The market currently puts the odds of the temperature being between 72-73° fahrenheit at 99%, with a sharp move of +80 pts over the past 24 hours.
Market lensThe market's odds of 99% suggest a high level of confidence in the temperature range, which is somewhat supported by the CBS News forecast.
Background
The temperature in San Francisco on June 18, 2026, is significant as it may impact various aspects of the city's daily life, including energy consumption and outdoor activities. The city's weather is known for being mild, with cool summers and mild winters. However, heat waves can occur, and the current market reflects a high probability of the temperature being within a specific range. The total money traded on this market is $15.3K, indicating a moderate level of interest.
What the coverage agrees on
- The temperature in San Francisco on June 18, 2026, is expected to be within a specific range.
- The National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) will provide the official reading.
What to watch
The maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco on June 18, 2026, will be announced by the National Weather Service. This information will be crucial in determining the market's outcome and may impact various sectors, including energy and tourism.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this 72° to 73° at 99%.
24h +80.0 pts
$15.3K traded · $14.1K in the last day · $10.9K open interest
Resolves on: If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 18, 2026, is between 72-73° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 99%
Sources
- Thursday evening First Alert Weather forecast 6/18/26 cbsnews.com
- Today's forecast nbcmiami.com
- World Cup 2026 weather updates: Severe storms, heat test fans and venues across host cities accuweather.com
- Happening Now – June 2026 yubanet.com
- The West Probably Hasn’t Seen the Worst of This Week’s Heat Wave nytimes.com
- Martinez Lake, Arizona, records hottest March day in U.S. history fox10phoenix.com
- Downtown San Francisco records coldest daytime high for November 30 since 1922 - The Watchers watchers.news
- The worst of California’s heat wave is still ahead. Here’s when temperatures will peak sfchronicle.com
Frequently asked questions
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jun 18, 2026?
Kalshi prices this 72° to 73° at 99%. The reporting broadly agrees.
What do the sources agree on?
The temperature in San Francisco on June 18, 2026, is expected to be within a specific range. The National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) will provide the official reading.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 18, 2026, is between 72-73° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 8 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.