Climate and Weather Kalshi June 17, 2026
San Francisco temperature reaches 71° to 72° on June 16, 2026
✓ The market called it — resolved 71° to 72°.
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jun 16, 2026?
Kalshi prices this 71° to 72° at 99%.
The highest temperature recorded in San Francisco on June 16, 2026, was between 71° and 72° fahrenheit. This was largely expected, as the forecast had been steady and the National Weather Service's reports supported this range. The market had overwhelmingly favored this outcome, with 99% probability on '71° to 72°'.
Market lensThe market called the outcome, with an overwhelming favorite on '71° to 72°' and a sharp move in odds over the past 24 hours with +58 pts.
Background
The temperature in San Francisco had been forecasted to be within a narrow range, with various outlets predicting a high temperature in the low 70s. The National Weather Service's Climatological Report would ultimately confirm this prediction.
The precedent
- San Francisco's average high temperature in June is around 67° fahrenheit.
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- The temperature in San Francisco on June 16, 2026, was between 71° and 72° fahrenheit.
- The National Weather Service's Climatological Report confirmed this temperature range.
How outlets frame it
- San Francisco Chronicle: The temperature record set in San Francisco was part of a larger heat wave in the Bay Area.
- KQED: The heat wave in the Bay Area was expected to continue beyond June 16, 2026.
What to watch
The temperature record set in San Francisco may have implications for the ongoing heat wave in the Bay Area, with potential effects on outdoor activities and energy demand.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this 71° to 72° at 99%.
24h +58.0 pts
$18.2K traded · $17.3K in the last day · $13.8K open interest
Resolves on: If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 16, 2026, is between 71-72° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 99%
Sources
- Tuesday evening First Alert Weather forecast with Darren Peck - 6/16/2026 cbsnews.com
- Today's forecast nbcmiami.com
- Highest temperature in Denver on Jun 17, 2026? coinbase.com
- MLB Weather Report for Wednesday 6/17/26 dknetwork.draftkings.com
- San Diego weather: Warm afternoon, elevated surf all week nbcsandiego.com
- Record-Breaking Heat Wave Bakes the Bay Area Through Friday kqed.org
- World Cup 2026 weather updates: Forecasts for key matches, stadium conditions and fan impacts accuweather.com
- Temperatures in Bay Area cities broke daily records. Here’s how hot it got sfchronicle.com
Frequently asked questions
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jun 16, 2026?
Kalshi prices this 71° to 72° at 99%.
What do the sources agree on?
The temperature in San Francisco on June 16, 2026, was between 71° and 72° fahrenheit. The National Weather Service's Climatological Report confirmed this temperature range.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 16, 2026, is between 71-72° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 8 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.