Climate and Weather Kalshi June 20, 2026
Miami temperature reaches 91° to 92° on June 19, 2026
✓ The market called it — resolved 91° to 92°.
Highest temperature in Miami on Jun 19, 2026?
Kalshi prices this 91° to 92° at 99%.
The highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport on June 19, 2026, was between 91° and 92°. This outcome was largely expected by the market, which had priced in a high probability of 99% for this temperature range. The decisive factor appears to have been a high-pressure system that brought clear skies and warm temperatures to the region. The market's confidence in this outcome was reflected in its sharp move over the past 24 hours, with +76 pts indicating growing conviction. The crowd's expectation was well-founded, as multiple outlets reported on the extreme heat in South Florida during this period.
Market lensThe market called the outcome, with a high probability of 99% for the 91° to 92° range, and a sharp move of +76 pts over the past 24 hours, indicating growing confidence.
Background
The market had been tracking the temperature forecast for Miami on June 19, 2026, with rising confidence in the 91° to 92° range. The region had been experiencing a heatwave, with temperatures expected to soar. The National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) provided the official temperature reading for Miami International Airport.
The precedent
- Miami experienced a heatwave in June 2026.
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- The highest temperature in Miami on June 19, 2026, was between 91° and 92°.
- The region experienced extreme heat in the days leading up to June 19, 2026.
- The heatwave in South Florida was widely reported by multiple outlets.
How outlets frame it
- CBS News: The extreme heat in South Florida was accompanied by a severe thunderstorm and flash flood risk.
- The Guardian: The heatwave in South Florida was part of a larger trend of extreme weather events.
What to watch
The extreme heat in South Florida is expected to continue, with the San Francisco Giants set to play the Miami Marlins in the next few hours. The heat may pose a challenge for players and spectators alike. The Marlins will also host the Texas Rangers on June 22, 2026.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this 91° to 92° at 99%.
24h +76.0 pts
$46.5K traded · $45.5K in the last day · $20.3K open interest
Resolves on: If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for June 19, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 91-92°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 99%
Sources
- Today's forecast nbcmiami.com
- Extreme heat continues in South Florida on Friday as severe thunderstorm, flash flood risk rises cbsnews.com
- Natural Air Conditioning Continues with High 70s; Compare Chicago Weather to Phoenix, Miami, LA, Wash DC arlingtoncardinal.com
- STEAMY AND STORMY FATHER’S DAY WEEKEND wsvn.com
- Two World Cup matches were played in ‘severe heat’, analysis finds theguardian.com
- World Cup 2026 weather updates: Severe storms, heat test fans and venues across host cities accuweather.com
- Winter Classic rink build underway in Miami for Rangers-Panthers outdoor game nhl.com
- These World Cup games are most at risk for dangerously hot weather npr.org
Frequently asked questions
Highest temperature in Miami on Jun 19, 2026?
Kalshi prices this 91° to 92° at 99%.
What do the sources agree on?
The highest temperature in Miami on June 19, 2026, was between 91° and 92°. The region experienced extreme heat in the days leading up to June 19, 2026. The heatwave in South Florida was widely reported by multiple outlets.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for June 19, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 91-92°, then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 8 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.