Climate and Weather Kalshi August 21, 2026
Dallas/Fort Worth Faces Near-Certainty of 2+ Consecutive Days Above 90°F
Consecutive days of average temperature in Dallas/Fort Worth above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026
Kalshi prices this 2+ consecutive days at 99%. The reporting broadly agrees.
Dallas/Fort Worth is bracing for a second consecutive day of sweltering temperatures, with the mercury expected to soar above 90°F. The prolonged heatwave has effectively settled the question of consecutive days above 90°F, with traders putting the outcome at 99%. The real-world outcome is now all but settled, with the crowd at near-certainty and the result no longer genuinely in doubt, though the market has not officially closed yet.
Background
Dallas/Fort Worth has been experiencing a prolonged heatwave, with temperatures consistently above 90°F throughout the week. The region's residents are accustomed to hot summers, but the prolonged heat has still caused concerns about heat-related illnesses. The heatwave is expected to continue throughout the week, with temperatures remaining above 90°F.
The precedent
- Heat-related illnesses are a common concern during hot summers in the United States.
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- The heatwave is expected to continue throughout the week.
- Temperatures are expected to remain above 90°F.
- Residents are advised to stay hydrated and take precautions to avoid heat-related illnesses.
What to watch
The heatwave is expected to continue throughout the week, with temperatures remaining above 90°F. Residents are advised to stay hydrated and take precautions to avoid heat-related illnesses.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this 2+ consecutive days at 99%.
$10.7K traded · $10.7K in the last day · $3.5K open interest
Resolves on: If there is at least 2 or more consecutive days within August 18, 2026 through August 24, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 99%
Sources
Frequently asked questions
Consecutive days of average temperature in Dallas/Fort Worth above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026
Kalshi prices this 2+ consecutive days at 99%. The reporting broadly agrees.
What do the sources agree on?
The heatwave is expected to continue throughout the week. Temperatures are expected to remain above 90°F. Residents are advised to stay hydrated and take precautions to avoid heat-related illnesses.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If there is at least 2 or more consecutive days within August 18, 2026 through August 24, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 3 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.