Climate and Weather Polymarket September 6, 2026
No major earthquakes recorded worldwide
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?
Polymarket prices this 0 at 98%.
No earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher were recorded anywhere on Earth between August 24 and August 30. This absence of significant seismic events meant a calm period globally. The prediction market tracking this event had heavily favored this outcome, with the probability for "0" reaching 98% by the close, reflecting strong confidence in a quiet week.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this 0 at 98%.
24h +2.6 pts 7d +51.1 pts
$46.5K traded · $35.9K in the last day · $3.1K resting liquidity · $2.4K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until…
Pricing Polymarket 98%
Sources
- Your smartwatch is lying to you about how many calories you burned in your last workout news.fiu.edu
- How many teams will be looking for a QB in the first round of 2027 NFL Draft? There might not be enough QBs to go around sports.yahoo.com
- How many different Week 1 starting QBs has each NFL team used? espn.com
- Album | Laurelyn Dossett – How Many Moons forfolkssake.com
Frequently asked questions
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?
Polymarket prices this 0 at 98%.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until…
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 4 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.