Climate and Weather Polymarket July 17, 2026
Mt. Washington summit faces potentially record-breaking wind speeds in July
Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in July?
Polymarket prices this ≥85 mph at 100%. The reporting broadly agrees.
A heat wave is gripping the Pacific Northwest, with temperatures expected to soar into the 90s in Eastern Washington. The Mt. Washington summit, known for its treacherous weather conditions, is facing potentially record-breaking wind speeds in July, with the highest wind speed on the summit being closely monitored. Traders put '≥85 mph' at 100%, even though the reporting from the Concord Monitor and MyNorthwest.com emphasizes the region's heat wave rather than wind speeds.
Background
Mt. Washington is a notorious weather spot, known for its extreme conditions. The summit has been the site of numerous weather records, including the highest wind speed ever recorded in the state. The current heat wave is expected to bring temperatures into the 90s in Eastern Washington, with the Mt. Washington summit facing potentially record-breaking wind speeds. The market resolves on July 31, 2026, and the current odds suggest a high likelihood of reaching the threshold.
The precedent
- Mt. Washington has been the site of numerous weather records, including the highest wind speed ever recorded in the state.
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- A heat wave is gripping the Pacific Northwest.
- Temperatures are expected to soar into the 90s in Eastern Washington.
- The Mt. Washington summit is known for its treacherous weather conditions.
How outlets frame it
- MyNorthwest.com: Emphasizes the regional impact of the heat wave and the potential for wildfires.
- Concord Monitor: Focuses on the weather conditions on Mt. Washington and the potential for record-breaking wind speeds.
What to watch
The next few days will be crucial in determining the outcome of the heat wave, with temperatures expected to peak on July 19. The Mt. Washington summit will be closely monitored for any signs of record-breaking wind speeds.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this ≥85 mph at 100%.
7d 0.0 pts
$51.4K traded · $31.3K in the last day · $27.8K resting liquidity · $24.6K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in July, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the…
Pricing Polymarket 100%
Sources
- Amber Ferreira dominates Mt. Washington Road Race, claims second victory concordmonitor.com
- Eastern Washington to hit 90s this weekend as wildfire conditions remain elevated mynorthwest.com
- Oregon Aligns with Washington, California, Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming as North Oregon Cascades Deliver Ideal Sunny Hiking, Mountain Adventure, Scenic Drives, and Summer Travel Conditions Across the Pacific Northwest: Exclusive travelandtourworld.com
Frequently asked questions
Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in July?
Polymarket prices this ≥85 mph at 100%. The reporting broadly agrees.
What do the sources agree on?
A heat wave is gripping the Pacific Northwest. Temperatures are expected to soar into the 90s in Eastern Washington. The Mt. Washington summit is known for its treacherous weather conditions.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in July, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the…
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 3 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.