Topic

Politics

The Politics stories the crowd is watching most. Crowdtells reads 8 live Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi as a signal of what matters, then briefs each one with real, cross-source reporting — what's moving now, and where the odds run ahead of the headlines.

• United Russia Faces Election Test Amidst Veteran Integration

  September 12, 2026·Polymarket·United Russia (ER) 75%·1 sources

  Russia's political landscape is shifting as the September 2026 parliamentary elections approach, with particular attention on how the ruling United Russia (ER) party will navigate…

• Democrats eye 2026 midterm sweep amid tight House races

  September 15, 2026·Polymarket·Democrats Sweep 58%·5 sources

  With the 2026 midterm elections less than two months away, the Democratic Party is intensifying its efforts to achieve a "Democrats Sweep" by winning control of both the United…

• Lula, Bolsonaro Battle for Brazil Presidency

  September 6, 2026·Polymarket·Flávio Bolsonaro 54%·5 sources

  The upcoming Brazilian presidential election on October 4, 2026, is shaping up to be a fiercely contested battle, with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva facing a strong…

• Far-Right Surge in German State Elections

  September 14, 2026·Polymarket·Linke 66%·5 sources

  Germany's political landscape is experiencing a notable shift following the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party's triumph in a recent state election. This victory marks…

• US Pursues Iranian Enriched Uranium as Tensions Escalate

  July 22, 2026·Polymarket·December 31 7%·5 sources

  The US government is intensifying its efforts to acquire enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran, a development that has significant implications for regional security.…

• Democrats Favored to Win House Majority in 2026

  September 5, 2026·Kalshi·Democratic Party 86%·2 sources

  The Democratic Party is currently favored to win control of the U.S. House in the upcoming 2026 midterm elections, despite recent reports of internal party infighting. Forecasts…

• Republicans Vie for Senate Control in Midterm Elections

  September 6, 2026·Kalshi·Democratic Party 55%·5 sources

  The Republican Party is working to win control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterm elections, with recent primary results shaping the field of contenders. One notable…

• Talarico Edges Paxton in Tight Texas Senate Race

  August 30, 2026·Kalshi·James Talarico 54%·5 sources

  The race for Texas' U.S. Senate seat in 2027 is becoming increasingly competitive, with recent polls indicating that Democrat James Talarico has a narrow lead over Republican…