Topic
Geopolitics
The Geopolitics stories the crowd is watching most. Crowdtells reads 10 live Geopolitics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi as a signal of what matters, then briefs each one with real, cross-source reporting — what's moving now, and where the odds run ahead of the headlines.
What are people predicting in Geopolitics right now?
The biggest Geopolitics story the crowd is watching is Hamas Announces Disarmament Deal with Israel and US — Polymarket prices this December 31, 2026 at 62%. Crowdtells tracks 10 live Geopolitics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi.
-
Hamas Announces Disarmament Deal with Israel and US
Hamas has announced it will disarm in the Gaza Strip if Israel withdraws from the area and the US honors a ceasefire agreement signed in October 2025. The move is seen as a…
-
US-Iran diplomacy enters critical window as September deadline looms
of progress, while Fox News reported he cautioned the five-month conflict could drag on toward November's midterms. Whether senior representatives convene formally by the…
-
Kuwait Army Reports Intercepting Iranian Drones as Tensions Escalate
The General Staff of the Kuwait Army reports that Kuwait's armed forces and air defenses have been actively intercepting 'hostile drones' from Iran. This development comes as…
-
US B-1 strike on IRGC raises pressure on Iranian airspace
A US military strike using B-1 bombers against IRGC targets inside Iran, reported in late July, has sharply escalated the confrontation between Washington and Tehran and renewed…
-
Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro to face trial in June 2027
Venezuela's President Nicolás Maduro will face trial in June 2027, a significant development in the country's ongoing political and economic crisis. The trial is set to take place…
-
Russia Tensions Rise Amid Fears of NATO Clash
Tensions between Russia and NATO have escalated in recent days, with Russia's military buildup in Eastern Europe sparking fears of a potential conflict. While some analysts…
-
Interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS may predate the Sun, scientists say
Scientists studying the interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS say the object may be older than the Sun itself, offering a rare window into material from beyond the solar system. The comet,…
-
Trump says decision on massive Iran attack is close
President Donald Trump said this week he is "close" to a decision on what Axios described as a "massive attack" on Iran, thrusting the prospect of direct U.S. military action…
-
Iran Pulls Out of US Deal Amid Rising Tensions Over Hormuz Strait
Iran has officially withdrawn from negotiations with the United States over a memorandum of understanding, citing US non-compliance and a new blockade on the Strait of Hormuz. The…
-
Putin Meets North Korean Foreign Minister Amid Diplomatic Push
Russian President Vladimir Putin's meeting with North Korean Foreign Minister Ri Yong-ho has sparked speculation about Russia's intentions in the region. The meeting comes as…
Frequently asked questions
What are the top Geopolitics prediction markets right now?
Hamas Announces Disarmament Deal with Israel and US (December 31, 2026 62%); US-Iran diplomacy enters critical window as September deadline looms (September 30 63%); Kuwait Army Reports Intercepting Iranian Drones as Tensions Escalate (August 31 3%)
What is the crowd pricing in Geopolitics right now?
Polymarket prices this December 31, 2026 at 62%.
Where do Geopolitics prediction markets trade?
Crowdtells tracks Geopolitics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi — the two largest prediction-market platforms — and briefs each with cross-source reporting. The odds are crowd-implied probabilities, not financial advice.