Topic

Climate and Weather

Crowdtells tracks 3 live Climate and Weather markets on Polymarket and Kalshi, ranked by how much money is behind them and how fast they're moving. Below: what the crowd is pricing right now, the latest swings, and where the odds run ahead of the headlines.

• Los Angeles Braces for Mid-Week Cooldown After Sunny Stretch

  June 17, 2026·Kalshi·69° to 70° 99%·8 sources

  The crowd expects Los Angeles to hit 69–70°F on June 16, 2026, with 99% backing the range despite $121K, as ABC7 notes a cooldown follows recent warmth. While EarthSky highlights…

• NYC braces for mixed clouds and possible rain on parade day

  June 17, 2026·Kalshi·75° to 76° 99%·8 sources

  With the crowd putting an overwhelming 99% on a 75‑76°F high, forecasters across the city are painting a more modest picture. Local outlets note morning clouds breaking to…

• Miami Braces for Record Heat

  June 17, 2026·Kalshi·94° to 95° 99%·8 sources

  The crowd is betting heavily on a high temperature of 94° to 95° in Miami on June 16, 2026, with 99% probability. According to forecasts, Miami-Dade and Broward are expecting…