Science and Technology Kalshi July 1, 2026
SpaceX exceeds launch target
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Kalshi prices this Above 10 at 99%.
SpaceX had more than 13 launches in June. The decisive factor was the company's ability to maintain a high launch cadence, with multiple launches in the last week of the month. The crowd had favored the outcome of more than 10 launches, with odds at 99%, but the actual number exceeded this expectation.
Background
SpaceX has been working to increase its launch frequency, with several launches planned for the summer. The company has been launching satellites and other payloads for a variety of customers, including the Starlink constellation.
What the coverage agrees on
- SpaceX had multiple launches in June
- The company launched a SiriusXM radio satellite on June 28
How outlets frame it
- CNBC: Short selling of SpaceX shares is relatively low, at around 5-7% of publicly available shares
What to watch
The next step will be to see how SpaceX's launch schedule unfolds for the rest of the year
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this Above 10 at 99%.
24h 0.0 pts
$572K traded · $70.3K in the last day · $269K open interest
Resolves on: If SpaceX has more than 10 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 99%
Sources
- How many Falcon 9 Rocket launches will SpaceX complete before the end of June? foxweather.com
- SpaceX launches Starlink satellites from Vandenberg Space Force Base spaceflightnow.com
- SpaceX plans rocket launch before Independence Day. How to watch live desertsun.com
- Florida's rocket launch schedule for Fourth of July week has 2 launches floridatoday.com
- SpaceX rocket launch should be visible in Phoenix this week phoenixnewtimes.com
Frequently asked questions
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Kalshi prices this Above 10 at 99%.
What do the sources agree on?
SpaceX had multiple launches in June The company launched a SiriusXM radio satellite on June 28
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If SpaceX has more than 10 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.