Crowdtells

Entertainment Kalshi July 13, 2026

Old Henry Dominates Netflix US Movie Chart

Top US Netflix Movie this week?

Kalshi prices this Old Henry at 69%. The reporting broadly agrees.

Tim Blake Nelson's 2021 Western film, "Old Henry," has captured the top spot on Netflix's US movie list, becoming a surprise hit for the streaming giant. The film, praised for its compelling narrative and high Rotten Tomatoes score, has garnered considerable buzz since its recent addition to the platform. Its ascent has been swift, with multiple outlets highlighting its unexpected popularity among new releases this week. The market, reflecting this surge, puts the probability of "Old Henry" being the #1 US Netflix movie on the chart published July 14, 2026, at 69%, indicating strong confidence in its continued dominance.

Background

Released in 2021, "Old Henry" is an independent Western starring Tim Blake Nelson as a farmer who must protect his son when a mysterious, injured man appears with a satchel of cash. The film initially received critical acclaim, boasting a 94% Rotten Tomatoes score, but its recent arrival on Netflix has introduced it to a much wider audience. Netflix regularly updates its Top 10 lists, which track the most-watched movies and TV shows in various regions, and "Old Henry" quickly climbed these rankings, surpassing other new additions and established titles.

The precedent

Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.

What the coverage agrees on

  • "Old Henry" is currently the #1 movie on Netflix's US Top 10 list.
  • The film was released in 2021 and stars Tim Blake Nelson.
  • It has received strong critical reviews, including a 94% Rotten Tomatoes score.
  • Netflix added numerous new titles this week, but "Old Henry" has stood out.

How outlets frame it

  • whats-on-netflix: Emphasizes the broader context of new releases on Netflix this week, positioning "Old Henry" among other highlights and new additions for July 13th to 19th, 2026.

What to watch

The official Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart, set to be published on July 14, 2026, will confirm whether "Old Henry" maintains its #1 position. Viewers are actively considering the film as a top watch for the weekend, suggesting continued strong viewership figures.

The numbers behind this

Kalshi prices this Old Henry at 69%.

24h -10.0 pts

$39.5K traded · $21.6K in the last day · $17K open interest

Resolves on: If Old Henry is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Pricing Kalshi 69%

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Sources

Frequently asked questions

Top US Netflix Movie this week?

Kalshi prices this Old Henry at 69%. The reporting broadly agrees.

What do the sources agree on?

"Old Henry" is currently the #1 movie on Netflix's US Top 10 list. The film was released in 2021 and stars Tim Blake Nelson. It has received strong critical reviews, including a 94% Rotten Tomatoes score. Netflix added numerous new titles this week, but "Old Henry" has stood out.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves on: If Old Henry is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How are these odds set?

Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.

AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.