Entertainment Polymarket September 19, 2026
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms in Nobel Peace Prize Spotlight
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Polymarket prices this Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms at 17%. The reporting broadly agrees.
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms are emerging as a notable contender for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, drawing increased attention as the October 9 resolution date approaches. This comes amidst ongoing conflict in Sudan, with reports from Wikipedia indicating that the Sudanese Armed Forces recently killed several Rapid Support Forces militants in the Blue Nile state, a development confirmed by the country's defense ministry. While the broader field of potential Nobel laureates remains wide, the Emergency Response Rooms have seen their prospects rise, with traders assigning them 17% probability, reflecting a +14 pts shift over the past week.
Background
The Nobel Peace Prize is awarded annually by the Norwegian Nobel Committee to individuals or organizations that have "done the most or the best work for fraternity between nations, for the abolition or reduction of standing armies and for the holding and promotion of peace congresses." The 2026 prize will be announced on October 9, with a specific resolution process in place if multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the award. This year's focus on Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms highlights the critical humanitarian efforts amidst the country's persistent internal conflicts. The market has tracked an increasing likelihood for this outcome over the tracking period.
The precedent
- The Nobel Peace Prize has been awarded to organizations 28 times since its inception in 1901.
- The International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN) was the last organization to win the Nobel Peace Prize, in 2017.
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner will be announced on October 9.
- The market tracks potential Nobel Peace Prize winners.
- Donald Trump's prospects for the prize have declined.
What to watch
The Norwegian Nobel Committee is set to announce the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize on October 9, which will officially resolve the market. Further developments in the ongoing conflict in Sudan, particularly those concerning civilian protection and humanitarian aid, could influence public perception and the committee's final decision.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms at 17%.
24h +8.2 pts 7d +14.0 pts
$24.3M traded · $60.6K in the last day · $1.8M resting liquidity · $1.5M open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the…
Pricing Polymarket 17%
Sources
Frequently asked questions
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Polymarket prices this Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms at 17%. The reporting broadly agrees.
What do the sources agree on?
The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner will be announced on October 9. The market tracks potential Nobel Peace Prize winners. Donald Trump's prospects for the prize have declined.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the…
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 3 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.