Climate and Weather Kalshi June 21, 2026
NYC temperature stays below 82°
✓ The market called it — resolved 81° or below.
Highest temperature in NYC on Jun 20, 2026?
Kalshi prices this 81° or below at 99%.
The highest temperature in NYC on June 20, 2026, was 81° or below. This outcome was influenced by weather patterns, with multiple outlets reporting on forecasted temperatures. The crowd had favored this outcome, with 99% indicating a strong likelihood of temperatures staying below 82°.
Market lensThe market called the outcome, with the crowd's favored side, 81° or below, being the actual result, and 99% indicating a high level of confidence in this outcome.
Background
The road to this result involved tracking weather forecasts and temperature predictions from various outlets, including CBS News and NBC 6 South Florida, which reported on the weather conditions leading up to June 20, 2026.
What the coverage agrees on
- The highest temperature in NYC on June 20, 2026, was 81° or below
How outlets frame it
- carbonbrief: The outcome is relevant to climate and weather patterns, with the post discussing 'gridlock' in climate talks
What to watch
The aftermath of this result will be closely watched by those interested in climate and weather patterns, particularly in relation to extreme heat warnings and weather forecasts.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this 81° or below at 99%.
24h +37.0 pts
$84.5K traded · $77.1K in the last day · $43.8K open interest
Resolves on: If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for June 20, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 82°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 99%
Sources
- NEXT Weather | 6 p.m. weather report for Saturday, June 20, 2026 cbsnews.com
- Today's forecast nbcmiami.com
- Extreme Heat Warnings Issued Across Europe: What to Know nytimes.com
- N.Y. Weather: New York could see thunderstorms, gusty winds later this week silive.com
- Happening Now – June 2026 yubanet.com
- 39 Summer Festivals and Fairs in NYC June 2026 for Families mommypoppins.com
- What to Do in New York City in June 2026: Events, Festivals & Pride rockefellercenter.com
- NYC weather April 15: Record-breaking heat fox5ny.com
Frequently asked questions
Highest temperature in NYC on Jun 20, 2026?
Kalshi prices this 81° or below at 99%.
What do the sources agree on?
The highest temperature in NYC on June 20, 2026, was 81° or below
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for June 20, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 82°, then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 8 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.