Politics Kalshi June 18, 2026
Tulsi Gabbard resigns as Director of National Intelligence
Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?
Kalshi prices this Before Jun 29, 2026 at 82%. The reporting broadly agrees.
Tulsi Gabbard has resigned as Director of National Intelligence, with several outlets reporting that she cited her husband's health issues as the reason for her departure. According to AP News, Gabbard resigned from her position, while The Guardian notes that her resistance to foreign wars amid Trump's aggression was a factor in her undoing. The BBC confirms that Gabbard resigned as US Director of National Intelligence. With 82% indicating a strong likelihood of her departure, traders seem to agree with the reporting.
Market lensThe market's confidence in Gabbard's departure seems to align with the reporting, with 82% indicating a strong favorite for her resignation.
Background
Tulsi Gabbard was appointed as Director of National Intelligence under President Trump. Her tenure was marked by controversy, particularly regarding her stance on foreign wars. The market resolves in about 10 days, with Gabbard's resignation potentially impacting the intelligence community.
What the coverage agrees on
- Tulsi Gabbard has resigned as Director of National Intelligence
- Her resignation was announced publicly
- The reasons for her resignation include her husband's health issues
How outlets frame it
- The Guardian: Gabbard's resistance to foreign wars amid Trump's aggression was a factor in her undoing
- The Atlantic: The article questions Gabbard's current whereabouts and activities
What to watch
The next steps for the intelligence community and Gabbard's future endeavors will be closely watched. A formal announcement or confirmation of her resignation is expected.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this Before Jun 29, 2026 at 82%.
24h -9.0 pts
$803K traded · $26.2K in the last day · $322K open interest
Resolves on: If Tulsi Gabbard leaves as Director of National Intelligence (DNI) before Jun 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 82%
Sources
- Tulsi Gabbard resigns as national intelligence director, citing husband’s health apnews.com
- Tulsi Gabbard’s resistance to foreign wars amid Trump’s aggression was her undoing | Mohamad Bazzi theguardian.com
- Tulsi Gabbard resigns as US director of national intelligence bbc.com
- Where Is Tulsi Gabbard? theatlantic.com
- EXCLUSIVE: Tulsi Gabbard resigns from Trump Cabinet foxnews.com
- Key Moments in Tulsi Gabbard’s Difficult Tenure as Director of National Intelligence wsj.com
- Tulsi Gabbard is resigning as director of national intelligence cnn.com
- Gabbard resigns as Trump's top US intelligence official reuters.com
Frequently asked questions
Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?
Kalshi prices this Before Jun 29, 2026 at 82%. The reporting broadly agrees.
What do the sources agree on?
Tulsi Gabbard has resigned as Director of National Intelligence Her resignation was announced publicly The reasons for her resignation include her husband's health issues
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If Tulsi Gabbard leaves as Director of National Intelligence (DNI) before Jun 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 8 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.