Politics · Kalshi ·June 30, 2026 ·Edited by Samuel Jo

Tulsi Gabbard Resigns as Director of National Intelligence

Tulsi Gabbard resigned as the Director of National Intelligence before June 29, 2026, marking the end of her time leading the intelligence community. Her departure, widely reported across multiple news outlets, was a significant development, with The New York Times noting that Aaron Lukas has been named as the acting chief. The prediction market had indicated this outcome, with the "Before Jun 29, 2026" side closing as a strong favorite at 82%, suggesting the crowd anticipated her exit.

Background

Gabbard's tenure as Director of National Intelligence was frequently described as difficult, a sentiment echoed by the Wall Street Journal's coverage of key moments during her time in office. Over the period leading up to her resignation, the market's odds regarding her departure had fluctuated, reflecting the uncertainty and scrutiny surrounding her position.

What to watch

With Tulsi Gabbard's resignation, attention now turns to Aaron Lukas, who has stepped in as acting chief. The immediate focus will be on the transition of leadership within the intelligence community and how this change might impact ongoing national security priorities and strategies.

AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.