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Science and Technology Kalshi July 25, 2026

Claude faces stiff competition in the Datacurve DeepSWE rankings

Top Coding AI this month

Kalshi prices this Claude at 91%. The reporting broadly agrees.

The Claude code, developed by Anthropic, is a top contender in the Datacurve DeepSWE rankings, but it faces stiff competition from other AI models. According to the market, Claude is the overwhelming favorite to be the highest ranked DeepSWE score model on July 31, 2026, at 10:00AM ET, with 91% probability. However, traders have been increasing their bets on Claude over the past 24 hours, with a sharp move of +61 pts.

Background

The Datacurve DeepSWE rankings are a measure of the performance of AI models in various tasks, including natural language processing and computer vision. Claude is a popular AI model developed by Anthropic, and it has been performing well in the rankings. However, other AI models, such as Codex, have also been gaining traction and may pose a challenge to Claude's dominance.

What the coverage agrees on

  • Claude is a top contender in the Datacurve DeepSWE rankings
  • The rankings are a measure of the performance of AI models in various tasks
  • Anthropic developed the Claude code

What to watch

The outcome of the Datacurve DeepSWE rankings will be announced on July 31, 2026, at 10:00AM ET. A significant shift in the rankings could be a sign of a major breakthrough in AI technology.

The numbers behind this

Kalshi prices this Claude at 91%.

24h +61.0 pts

$80.5K traded · $18.3K in the last day · $30K open interest

Resolves on: If Claude is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Pricing Kalshi 91%

See live odds & discussion →

Sources

Frequently asked questions

Top Coding AI this month

Kalshi prices this Claude at 91%. The reporting broadly agrees.

What do the sources agree on?

Claude is a top contender in the Datacurve DeepSWE rankings The rankings are a measure of the performance of AI models in various tasks Anthropic developed the Claude code

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves on: If Claude is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

How are these odds set?

Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.

AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.