Crowdtells

Crypto Kalshi July 28, 2026

Bitcoin Price Hits $65,000 as Investors Eye Fed Decision

How high will BTC get in July?

Kalshi prices this Above $67,500.00 at 2%. The reporting broadly agrees.

The price of Bitcoin has remained steady near $65,000, with investors closely watching the Federal Reserve's decision, which could determine whether the cryptocurrency breaks higher or revisits June's lows. Traders put the probability of Bitcoin reaching $67,500 in July at 2%, even though the reporting suggests that the market is cautious about the near-term outlook. A sharp move in the past 24 hours has seen the odds slip, with -2 pts in favor of a lower price. The market resolves on July 31, 2026.

Background

The Ethereum treasury company has been expanding its stock buyback, citing ether outperforming bitcoin as a bullish signal. This move has been seen as a positive sign for the cryptocurrency market, with some analysts suggesting that it could lead to a rebound in prices. However, the broader market has been selling off, with chip and AI infrastructure names seeing significant declines.

What the coverage agrees on

  • The Ethereum treasury company has been expanding its stock buyback.
  • The Federal Reserve's decision will be a key catalyst for the cryptocurrency market.

How outlets frame it

  • coindesk: The market is cautious about the near-term outlook, but a rebound in prices is possible if the Federal Reserve's decision is positive.
  • CNBC: The Federal Reserve's decision will have a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market, and investors should be prepared for a potential rebound in prices.

What to watch

The Federal Reserve's decision will be a key catalyst for the cryptocurrency market, with investors closely watching to see whether it will impact the price of Bitcoin. A move above $67,500 in the next few days would be a significant development, but a decline in the price would suggest that the market remains cautious about the near-term outlook.

The numbers behind this

Kalshi prices this Above $67,500.00 at 2%.

24h -2.0 pts

$60.7K traded · $2.1K in the last day · $16.3K open interest

Resolves on: If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever above $ 67500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

Pricing Kalshi 2%

See live odds & discussion →

Sources

Frequently asked questions

How high will BTC get in July?

Kalshi prices this Above $67,500.00 at 2%. The reporting broadly agrees.

What do the sources agree on?

The Ethereum treasury company has been expanding its stock buyback. The Federal Reserve's decision will be a key catalyst for the cryptocurrency market.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves on: If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever above $ 67500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

How are these odds set?

Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.

AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.