Crypto Polymarket August 24, 2026
Trump Calls on Congress to Pass 'Fair Version' of Clarity Act
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket prices this 86% no. The reporting broadly agrees.
President Trump has called on Congress to pass a 'fair version' of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, a move that could bring much-needed clarity to the crypto industry. The act, which aims to regulate digital assets, has been stalled in Congress for months, leaving the industry in limbo. Traders put the odds of the act being signed into law at 86%, despite the CFTC chair saying staff is already exploring a crypto market structure framework that could be proposed if Congress fails to act.
Background
The Clarity Act has been a contentious issue in Congress, with some lawmakers pushing for stricter regulations on digital assets. The act aims to provide a clear framework for the regulation of digital assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. The CFTC chair has said that staff is already exploring a crypto market structure framework that could be proposed if Congress fails to act.
The precedent
- No major regulatory bill has been passed in the US in the past 10 years.
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- The Clarity Act has been stalled in Congress for months.
- The act aims to regulate digital assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
- The CFTC chair has said that staff is already exploring a crypto market structure framework.
Where sources diverge
- The chances of the act being signed into law, with some outlets saying it is unlikely and others saying it is still possible.
How outlets frame it
- Decrypt: The CFTC's proposed framework could be a game-changer for the Clarity Act, but it's unclear how it will impact the bill.
- TheBanker.com: The Clarity Act is a necessary step towards regulating the crypto industry, but it's being held back by politics.
- Action Network: The Clarity Act is a complex issue, and it's hard to say what will happen next.
What to watch
The next development in the Clarity Act will be a vote in the House of Representatives, which is expected to take place in the coming weeks. The vote will be a crucial test of the act's chances of being signed into law.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this 86% no.
24h 0.0 pts 7d +11.0 pts
$11.3M traded · $141K in the last day · $441K resting liquidity · $4.5M open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Pricing Polymarket 86%
Sources
- Trump Calls on Congress to Pass 'Fair Version' of Clarity Act at White House Crypto Meeting finance.yahoo.com
- Trump Pushes For More Crypto Clarity, White House To Host Meeting With Industry Leaders investors.com
- Will CLARITY Act be Signed Into Law? Polymarket Odds actionnetwork.com
- Clarity Act stalls leaving banks and crypto in limbo thebanker.com
- CFTC Chair Readies Crypto Rules If Congress Fails to Pass Clarity Act decrypt.co
Frequently asked questions
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket prices this 86% no. The reporting broadly agrees.
What do the sources agree on?
The Clarity Act has been stalled in Congress for months. The act aims to regulate digital assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. The CFTC chair has said that staff is already exploring a crypto market structure framework.
Where do the sources disagree?
The chances of the act being signed into law, with some outlets saying it is unlikely and others saying it is still possible.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.