Politics Polymarket July 1, 2026
Weiser Wins Colorado Democratic Gubernatorial Primary
Colorado Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Polymarket prices this Phil Weiser at 100%.
Colorado Attorney General Phil Weiser has won the Democratic primary for governor, successfully defeating U.S. Senator Michael Bennet. Weiser's victory was projected by multiple news outlets, including the Associated Press, shortly after the polls closed, marking a decisive moment in the race. This outcome, described by Axios as an "upset," underscored a broader voter frustration with Washington, according to their reporting. The prediction market had anticipated Weiser's win, with his odds of victory closing at 100%, reflecting strong confidence in his eventual success.
What the coverage agrees on
- Phil Weiser won the Democratic primary for Colorado governor.
- Weiser defeated U.S. Senator Michael Bennet.
- Multiple outlets projected Weiser's win.
How outlets frame it
- Axios: Weiser's victory was an "upset" that highlighted voter frustration with Washington, D.C.
What to watch
Phil Weiser will now advance to the general election, where he will face the Republican nominee. His victory sets the stage for a potentially competitive gubernatorial race in a state where Democrats have recently held a dominant position, making the general election a key contest to watch.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this Phil Weiser at 100%.
24h +18.5 pts 7d +74.0 pts
$544K traded · $105K in the last day · $1.3M resting liquidity · $179K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Pricing Polymarket 100%
Sources
- Colorado AG Phil Weiser wins Democratic primary for governor over Sen. Michael Bennet nbcnews.com
- Phil Weiser projected to win Democratic primary for Colorado governor, defeating Sen. Michael Bennet cbsnews.com
- Phil Weiser upsets Michael Bennet to win Democratic primary for Colorado governor axios.com
- Phil Weiser defeats Michael Bennet in Democratic primary for Colorado governor denverpost.com
- Live results: Bennet, Weiser duke it out in Democratic primary for Colorado governor thehill.com
Frequently asked questions
Colorado Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Polymarket prices this Phil Weiser at 100%.
What do the sources agree on?
Phil Weiser won the Democratic primary for Colorado governor. Weiser defeated U.S. Senator Michael Bennet. Multiple outlets projected Weiser's win.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.