Entertainment Polymarket August 22, 2026 Crowd ahead of press
Insidious: Out of the Further Debuts at the Box Office This Weekend
“Insidious: Out of the Further” Opening Weekend Box Office
Polymarket prices this <25m at 84%. The market is more confident than the current reporting.
Insidious: Out of the Further, the latest installment in the Insidious horror film series, is set to debut at the box office this weekend. The film, which follows a group of characters as they navigate a supernatural realm, is expected to perform well, given the success of its predecessors. According to some predictions, the film could gross around $23 million in its opening weekend, although this is still a relatively modest estimate. Traders put <25m at 84%, even though the reporting suggests a stronger performance.
Background
The Insidious franchise has been a commercial success, with each film performing better than the last. The previous installment, Insidious: The Last Key, grossed over $167 million worldwide. The new film is expected to follow a similar formula, with a mix of horror and supernatural elements. The cast includes a mix of veteran actors and newcomers, adding to the film's potential for success.
The precedent
- The previous installment, Insidious: The Last Key, grossed over $167 million worldwide.
- The Insidious franchise has been a commercial success.
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- The Insidious franchise has been a commercial success.
- The previous installment, Insidious: The Last Key, grossed over $167 million worldwide.
- The new film is expected to follow a similar formula, with a mix of horror and supernatural elements.
Where sources diverge
- The market's estimate of $23 million in opening weekend gross is disputed by some predictions, which suggest a stronger performance.
How outlets frame it
- Variety: Variety notes that the film's marketing campaign has been strong, which could contribute to its potential for success.
- Deadline: Deadline emphasizes the film's potential for success, citing its strong cast and marketing campaign.
What to watch
The film's opening weekend performance will be closely watched, as it will provide a gauge of its potential for success. A strong performance could lead to a wider release and increased box office earnings.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this <25m at 84%.
24h +26.5 pts
$42.5K traded · $31.2K in the last day · $75K resting liquidity · $23.4K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve according to how much "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which…
Pricing Polymarket 84%
Sources
- Weekend Box Office Predictions: Mutiny on track for a modest opening, Insidious should be solid joblo.com
- Box Office: ‘Insidious: Out of the Further’ Makes $3 Million in Previews variety.com
- Sony Double Feature At The B.O.: ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ $35M, ‘Insidious 6’ $23M Opening – Box Office Update deadline.com
- ‘Insidious: Out of the Further’ Hunts Down $3M in Box Office Previews hollywoodreporter.com
- ‘Insidious: Out of the Further’ Hunts Down $3M in Box Office Previews imdb.com
Frequently asked questions
“Insidious: Out of the Further” Opening Weekend Box Office
Polymarket prices this <25m at 84%. The market is more confident than the current reporting.
What do the sources agree on?
The Insidious franchise has been a commercial success. The previous installment, Insidious: The Last Key, grossed over $167 million worldwide. The new film is expected to follow a similar formula, with a mix of horror and supernatural elements.
Where do the sources disagree?
The market's estimate of $23 million in opening weekend gross is disputed by some predictions, which suggest a stronger performance.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve according to how much "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which…
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.