Politics Polymarket August 29, 2026
Moskowitz Wins FL-25 Democratic Primary by Wide Margin
FL-25 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Polymarket prices this Moskowitz 25%+ at 98%.
Jared Moskowitz secured a commanding victory in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District, with a margin exceeding 25%. This substantial win solidified his position as the top candidate, reflecting strong support from voters. The prediction market had heavily favored this outcome, with the "Moskowitz 25%+" option closing at 98%, indicating high confidence in a dominant performance.
What to watch
With the primary concluded, Moskowitz will now advance to the general election, where he will face his Republican challenger. The focus will shift to how his campaign strategy evolves to appeal to a broader electorate in the upcoming contest.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this Moskowitz 25%+ at 98%.
24h +67.8 pts
$48.7K traded · $29.1K in the last day · $42.4K resting liquidity · $23.5K open interest
Resolves on: Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25). For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two…
Pricing Polymarket 98%
Sources
- Grand jury finds DeSantis administration "misappropriated" $10 million in taxpayer money to Hope Florida cbsnews.com
- Florida’s Department of Health removes 4 vaccines from required list for public schools cidrap.umn.edu
- Seminoles Set to Play Two Games in Pensacola - Florida State University seminoles.com
- Who won and lost in Florida primaries: Key takeaways aljazeera.com
Frequently asked questions
FL-25 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Polymarket prices this Moskowitz 25%+ at 98%.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25). For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two…
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 4 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.