Politics Polymarket July 2, 2026
Aleksandar Vučić resigns as President
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?
Polymarket prices this June 30, 2026 at 100%.
Aleksandar Vučić has resigned as the President of Serbia. The decisive factor was Vučić's own announcement to step down, which was met with skepticism by protesters. The crowd had expected this outcome, with the market's odds on his resignation by June 30, 2026, at 100%.
Background
Vučić had announced his intention to resign within weeks, with some outlets reporting he would campaign for the ruling party. The exact circumstances of his resignation are not entirely clear, but multiple outlets confirm he has stepped down.
What the coverage agrees on
- Aleksandar Vučić has resigned as President of Serbia
- Vučić had announced his intention to resign within weeks
How outlets frame it
- Al Jazeera: Vučić's resignation was met with skepticism by protesters
- Euractiv: Vučić will campaign for the ruling party after his resignation
What to watch
The aftermath of Vučić's resignation will likely involve early elections and a potential shift in power in Serbia.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this June 30, 2026 at 100%.
24h +0.1 pts 7d +99.0 pts
$5.2M traded · $1.1M in the last day · $3M resting liquidity · $3.7M open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Pricing Polymarket 100%
Sources
- Serbia’s President Aleksandar Vucic says will resign within ‘weeks’ aljazeera.com
- Protesters in Serbia skeptical of President Aleksandar Vucic's vow to step down cbc.ca
- Serbian President Vucic says he will resign within weeks reuters.com
- Serbia's Vučić announces he will resign as president and campaign for ruling party euractiv.com
- Serbian President Vucic Vows To Resign, Announces Early Elections rferl.org
Frequently asked questions
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?
Polymarket prices this June 30, 2026 at 100%.
What do the sources agree on?
Aleksandar Vučić has resigned as President of Serbia Vučić had announced his intention to resign within weeks
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.