Politics Polymarket June 29, 2026
Vučić to resign
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?
Polymarket prices this June 30, 2026 at 99%. The reporting broadly agrees.
Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić has announced he will resign within weeks, a move that comes as protesters in Serbia remain skeptical of his vow to step down. With Vučić's resignation pending, traders put his exit by June 30, 2026, at 99%, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the timeline of his departure.
Background
Aleksandar Vučić has been the President of Serbia since 2017, and his resignation would mark a significant shift in the country's leadership. The market's resolution on June 29, 2026, will determine whether Vučić has ceased to be the President of Serbia by the specified date.
What the coverage agrees on
- Aleksandar Vučić has announced his resignation
- Vučić will campaign for the ruling party
- Elections will be held in the next 3 to 4 months
What to watch
Vučić's resignation and the subsequent elections, which he says will be held in the next 3 to 4 months, will be crucial in determining the future of Serbia's leadership
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this June 30, 2026 at 99%.
24h +2.2 pts 7d +97.5 pts
$1.2M traded · $978K in the last day · $244K resting liquidity · $848K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Pricing Polymarket 99%
Sources
- Serbia’s President Aleksandar Vucic says will resign within ‘weeks’ aljazeera.com
- Protesters in Serbia skeptical of President Aleksandar Vucic's vow to step down cbc.ca
- Serbia's President Vucic says elections will be held in the next 3 to 4 months wral.com
- Serbian President Vucic says he will resign within weeks reuters.com
- Serbia's Vučić announces he will resign as president and campaign for ruling party euractiv.com
Frequently asked questions
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?
Polymarket prices this June 30, 2026 at 99%. The reporting broadly agrees.
What do the sources agree on?
Aleksandar Vučić has announced his resignation Vučić will campaign for the ruling party Elections will be held in the next 3 to 4 months
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.