Politics Polymarket August 3, 2026
Trump Posts 180-199 Times on Truth Social in 7 Days
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
Polymarket prices this 180-199 at 100%.
President Donald Trump posted 180-199 times on Truth Social between July 21 and July 28, 2026, according to a closely watched market that tracked the number of posts. The decisive factor in this outcome was Trump's consistent posting schedule, which saw him averaging over 25 posts per day. This high volume of posts was likely driven by his desire to stay in the public eye and to monetize his market-moving social media presence. The market had favored this outcome, with odds of 100% indicating a strong confidence in the 180-199 range. The odds moved sharply over the past 7 days, +91 pts, and again in the past 24 hours, +14 pts. The total money traded on this market was $181K, with a notable surge in interest in the past 24 hours, $62.2K.
Background
Over the period we tracked it, the market's odds have climbed, reflecting growing interest in Trump's social media presence and its potential impact on the market. This development comes as Trump Media and Technology Group launched a paid data service on August 1, selling faster access to top Truth Social posts from President Trump and more.
What the coverage agrees on
- President Donald Trump posted 180-199 times on Truth Social between July 21 and July 28, 2026.
- The market had favored this outcome, with odds of {odds} indicating a strong confidence in the 180-199 range.
How outlets frame it
- NBC News: The market's verdict will be closely watched by investors and analysts, who will be looking to see if Trump can maintain his high posting volume and continue to monetize his market-moving social media presence.
- CNBC: The launch of Trump Media and Technology Group's paid data service on August 1 has significant implications for Trump's social media strategy and potential revenue streams.
What to watch
The outcome of this market has significant implications for Trump's social media strategy and potential revenue streams. The market's verdict will be closely watched by investors and analysts, who will be looking to see if Trump can maintain his high posting volume and continue to monetize his market-moving social media presence.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this 180-199 at 100%.
24h +14.0 pts 7d +91.0 pts
$181K traded · $62.2K in the last day · $2.2K resting liquidity · $55.3K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the…
Pricing Polymarket 100%
Sources
- Trump threatens Iran with slew of AI social media posts despite lull in fighting timesofisrael.com
- For sale: early access to Trump's Truth Social posts npr.org
- Trump Looks to Monetize His Market-Moving Social Media Posts – But Critics Cry Foul | National News | U.S. News usnews.com
- Trump stands to profit off policy announcements by selling access to his social media posts latimes.com
- Wall Street can pay for early access to Trump's Truth Social posts jpost.com
Frequently asked questions
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
Polymarket prices this 180-199 at 100%.
What do the sources agree on?
President Donald Trump posted 180-199 times on Truth Social between July 21 and July 28, 2026. The market had favored this outcome, with odds of {odds} indicating a strong confidence in the 180-199 range.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the…
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.