Entertainment Polymarket July 22, 2026
The Hawk Season 1 topped Netflix US weekly charts
What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
Polymarket prices this The Hawk: Season 1 at 98%.
The Hawk: Season 1 claimed the top spot on Netflix's weekly US Top 10 TV shows ranking, reflecting total domestic views from Monday through Sunday. Netflix updated its public top10.netflix.com leaderboard on Tuesday afternoon, confirming the new series as the most-watched title in the United States for that period. The crowd had backed The Hawk as an overwhelming favorite heading into the settlement, with closing odds at 98%, and the result validated that confidence without suspense. Coverage of the outcome was minimal, with no major outlets reporting on the ranking beyond the platform's own data.
What to watch
The Hawk's week-one dominance sets a benchmark for whether it can sustain viewership into a second week or cede ground to upcoming Netflix releases. The show's retention rate and any renewal announcement will be the next concrete signals of its longer-term impact on the platform's originals slate.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this The Hawk: Season 1 at 98%.
24h +20.3 pts
$138K traded · $41.2K in the last day · $66.3K resting liquidity · $53.6K open interest
Resolves on: Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pricing Polymarket 98%
Sources
Frequently asked questions
What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
Polymarket prices this The Hawk: Season 1 at 98%.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 1 source and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.