Entertainment Polymarket July 13, 2026
Evil Dead Burn's Opening Weekend Box Office Falls Below Expectations
"Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office
Polymarket prices this <20m at 97%.
The horror thriller "Evil Dead Burn" opened to a disappointing box office, failing to reach even on its opening weekend. This figure placed it well below initial projections, marking a significant underperformance for the film. The movie struggled to attract audiences, with several reports highlighting its poor theatrical debut. The market had anticipated this outcome, with the favored side of less than holding strong odds throughout the period.
Background
Leading up to its release, "Evil Dead Burn" was expected to be a notable horror entry, though early signs suggested it might struggle against other releases. Producer Rob Tapert had previously noted that a particularly brutal scene had to be heavily edited to secure an R rating, which may have impacted its broader appeal. The film debuted in a post-holiday frame alongside Disney's "Moana" live-action, which also faced challenges at the box office.
What the coverage agrees on
- "Evil Dead Burn" opened below expectations.
- The film's box office performance was poor.
- It opened in the same weekend as Disney's "Moana" live-action.
How outlets frame it
- JoBlo: Both "Moana" and "Evil Dead Burn" had opening weekends well below expectations.
- Dread Central: 'Evil Dead Burn' performed so poorly it "turns to ashes" at the box office.
What to watch
The poor opening weekend for "Evil Dead Burn" raises questions about the film's long-term box office viability and its potential impact on future horror releases. Studios will likely evaluate whether the current market for horror films is oversaturated or if specific elements of "Evil Dead Burn" failed to resonate with audiences.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this <20m at 97%.
24h +16.6 pts
$73.5K traded · $36.2K in the last day · $65.4K resting liquidity · $24.5K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve according to how much "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically…
Pricing Polymarket 97%
Sources
- Box Office: Disney’s Moana and Evil Dead Burn both opening well below expectations joblo.com
- Weekend Preview: MOANA and EVIL DEAD BURN to Headline Post-Holiday Frame boxofficepro.com
- MOANA live-action | EVIL DEAD BURN openings | Where we are now | July 10 to 12, 2026 weekend franchisere.substack.com
- ‘Evil Dead Burn’ Turns to Ashes at the Box Office dreadcentral.com
- Box Office: ‘Moana’ Makes $18 Million on Opening Day variety.com
Frequently asked questions
"Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office
Polymarket prices this <20m at 97%.
What do the sources agree on?
"Evil Dead Burn" opened below expectations. The film's box office performance was poor. It opened in the same weekend as Disney's "Moana" live-action.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve according to how much "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically…
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.