Crowdtells

Entertainment Polymarket July 5, 2026

True-Crime Docuseries "Worst Neighbor Ever" Eyes Top Netflix Spot

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Polymarket prices this Worst Neighbor Ever at 63%. The reporting broadly agrees.

Netflix is set to release its weekly Top 10 TV shows list on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, and the true-crime docuseries "Worst Neighbor Ever" is a strong contender for the top position. The series, which explores real-life disputes between neighbors that escalate into violence, has garnered significant attention since its release. Viewers are keen to see if the show's intense narratives will propel it to the #1 spot, a position that reflects its popularity and binge-watching appeal. The series has been a clear favorite among those tracking its performance, with its probability of taking the top spot currently at 63%.

Background

The true-crime genre continues to be a dominant force on streaming platforms, with Netflix consistently investing in docuseries that delve into real-world events. "Worst Neighbor Ever" follows this trend, focusing on dramatic and often violent conflicts arising from neighborhood disputes. The series has drawn comparisons to other popular true-crime offerings, with reviewers highlighting its shocking stories and the compelling question of what drives ordinary disagreements to extreme outcomes. The market tracking its potential performance has seen its odds fluctuate over the past few days, reflecting dynamic viewer engagement.

The precedent

Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.

What the coverage agrees on

  • "Worst Neighbor Ever" is a new true-crime docuseries on Netflix.
  • The series focuses on conflicts between neighbors that turn violent.
  • It has been reviewed by multiple outlets.

How outlets frame it

  • Decider: Focuses on the decision of whether the series is worth streaming, indicating its potential for viewer engagement.
  • Heaven of Horror: Provides a review from the perspective of the horror genre, suggesting the series contains elements of dread or suspense.
  • What's on Netflix: Questions the watchability of the series, indicating a critical assessment of its quality or impact.
  • People.com: Emphasizes the real-world aftermath of the events depicted, focusing on the current status of the individuals involved.

What to watch

The crucial moment for "Worst Neighbor Ever" will arrive on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, when Netflix updates its Top 10 TV shows list at 3:00 PM ET. This update will officially reveal which show secured the #1 position in the US for the previous week's viewership. Observers will be watching to see if the docuseries' popularity translates into the top ranking, or if another title will surprise to claim the spot.

The numbers behind this

Polymarket prices this Worst Neighbor Ever at 63%.

24h +26.0 pts

$65.9K traded · $26.8K in the last day · $60.4K resting liquidity · $26.8K open interest

Resolves on: Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Pricing Polymarket 63%

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Sources

Frequently asked questions

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Polymarket prices this Worst Neighbor Ever at 63%. The reporting broadly agrees.

What do the sources agree on?

"Worst Neighbor Ever" is a new true-crime docuseries on Netflix. The series focuses on conflicts between neighbors that turn violent. It has been reviewed by multiple outlets.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves on: Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

How are these odds set?

Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.

AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.