Entertainment Polymarket July 6, 2026
Minions & Monsters' Opening Weekend Box Office Underwhelms
"Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office
Polymarket prices this <68m at 100%.
The animated film "Minions & Monsters" debuted with a domestic five-day opening weekend box office total of less than m, a figure that marks a franchise low. Despite leading the box office, its haul was described as underwhelming, falling short of earlier projections. The film's performance contributed to a slow July 4th holiday weekend for cinemas overall. The prediction market had heavily favored this outcome, with the crowd pricing the likelihood of the film grossing less than m at 100% as the weekend closed.
Background
Leading up to its release, "Minions & Monsters" was initially projected by some outlets to aim for around m over the July 4th holiday weekend. However, as the opening weekend progressed, reports began to suggest a lower-than-expected performance. The market's odds for the film's box office have fluctuated throughout the tracking period, reflecting the changing sentiment and projections from industry analysts. The competitive landscape, particularly an oversaturated superhero market, was noted as a potential challenge for the film to truly thrive.
What the coverage agrees on
- "Minions & Monsters" took the number one spot at the box office.
- The film's opening weekend performance was lower than expected.
- The July 4th holiday weekend was generally slow for the box office.
- The movie's opening haul was a franchise low.
How outlets frame it
- arstechnica: The film's quality was good, but not exceptional enough to overcome the highly competitive superhero movie market.
What to watch
The lower-than-expected opening for "Minions & Monsters" raises questions about the future box office potential of the franchise and animated films in the current theatrical climate. Industry observers will be watching to see how the film performs in subsequent weeks and whether its anemic debut impacts upcoming release strategies for similar titles.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this <68m at 100%.
24h +0.2 pts 7d +46.5 pts
$477K traded · $69.1K in the last day · $202K resting liquidity · $155K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve according to how much "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (July 1 - July 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of…
Pricing Polymarket 100%
Sources
- Box Office: 'Minions & Monsters' Sees Franchise Low $61M 5-Day Opening deadline.com
- Box Office: ‘Minions & Monsters’ Aims for $80 Million Over July 4th Holiday Weekend, ‘Supergirl’ Faces 60% Drop variety.com
- Weekend Box Office: Minions & Monsters Takes No. 1 with Underwhelming Debut editorial.rottentomatoes.com
- Weekend Box Office: MINIONS & MONSTERS Leads Slow July 4 Holiday boxofficepro.com
- ‘Minions & Monsters’ tops the box office, but with a lower-than-expected haul latimes.com
Frequently asked questions
"Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office
Polymarket prices this <68m at 100%.
What do the sources agree on?
"Minions & Monsters" took the number one spot at the box office. The film's opening weekend performance was lower than expected. The July 4th holiday weekend was generally slow for the box office. The movie's opening haul was a franchise low.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve according to how much "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (July 1 - July 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of…
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.