Politics Polymarket July 25, 2026
Netanyahu to meet with Trump in Washington on Tuesday
Who will Trump meet with in July?
Polymarket prices this Benjamin Netanyahu at 95%. The reporting broadly agrees.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is scheduled to meet with President Donald Trump at the White House on Tuesday, a development that has significant implications for US-Israel relations. The meeting comes as tensions between the US and Iran continue to escalate, with Trump considering a military escalation. According to recent reports, the Trump administration is debating whether to support Iran's downfall, even as Trump says Iran is desperately seeking talks. Netanyahu has met with Trump in the Oval Office six times since 2017, and the two leaders have a close relationship. Traders put Netanyahu at 95%, even though the reporting suggests a more cautious approach to Iran.
Background
Benjamin Netanyahu has been a key ally of President Donald Trump, and the two leaders have a close relationship. Netanyahu has met with Trump in the Oval Office six times since 2017, and the two leaders have worked together on several key issues, including Iran and Israel's relationship with the US. The meeting on Tuesday is seen as an opportunity for Netanyahu to discuss several key issues with Trump, including Iran and the US-Israel relationship.
The precedent
- No sitting Israeli Prime Minister has met with a US President as many times as Netanyahu has since 2017
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- Netanyahu is scheduled to meet with Trump at the White House on Tuesday
- The meeting has significant implications for US-Israel relations
- Netanyahu has met with Trump in the Oval Office six times since 2017
- Tensions between the US and Iran continue to escalate
How outlets frame it
- Fox News: emphasizing the potential for a shift in US policy towards Iran
- Axios: highlighting the close relationship between Netanyahu and Trump
What to watch
The meeting between Netanyahu and Trump on Tuesday will be closely watched by observers, who will be looking for any signs of a shift in US policy towards Iran. A sharp move in Netanyahu's odds over the past 24 hours suggests that traders are closely watching the situation, with +69.1 pts over the past day.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this Benjamin Netanyahu at 95%.
24h +69.1 pts 7d +31.8 pts
$366K traded · $54.9K in the last day · $113K resting liquidity · $60.6K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pricing Polymarket 95%
Sources
- Netanyahu to meet with Trump in Washington on Tuesday, PM's office says reuters.com
- July 12 – President Trump, Israeli PM Netanyahu, Sen. Tim Scott, Sen. Adam Schiff & Rep. Ro Khanna nbcnews.com
- Netanyahu to travel to US on Saturday, expected to meet Trump on Monday timesofisrael.com
- Netanyahu to Meet With Trump in Washington on Tuesday, PM's Office Says usnews.com
- Netanyahu to meet with Trump in Washington on Tuesday, PM's office says - Al-Monitor al-monitor.com
Frequently asked questions
Who will Trump meet with in July?
Polymarket prices this Benjamin Netanyahu at 95%. The reporting broadly agrees.
What do the sources agree on?
Netanyahu is scheduled to meet with Trump at the White House on Tuesday The meeting has significant implications for US-Israel relations Netanyahu has met with Trump in the Oval Office six times since 2017 Tensions between the US and Iran continue to escalate
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.