Entertainment Polymarket June 22, 2026
Obsession’s 6th‑weekend box office dips below $14 million
"Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office
Polymarket prices this <14m at 97%.
Obsession earned under $14 million in its sixth domestic weekend, marking a steep drop after a record‑breaking summer run. The decline was driven by a crowded market, with new releases like Scary Movie 6 siphoning audiences, and the film’s front‑loaded appeal exhausting its core fan base. Despite the domestic dip, the movie still topped $300 million worldwide, a milestone highlighted by multiple outlets. The crowd had priced the sub‑$14 million outcome as an overwhelming favorite (97%), and the odds sharpened sharply in the final 24 hours (+69.4 pts) as the market reacted to early reports.
Background
Obsession opened to strong opening‑week numbers and quickly vaulted to a $300 million worldwide gross, becoming Focus Features’ first film to breach that mark. Industry trackers noted its momentum through the first five weekends, but analysts warned that its genre‑specific draw and limited sequel potential would likely cause a domestic taper. By the sixth weekend, competing summer titles such as Scary Movie 6 and Masters of the Universe entered the fray, accelerating the typical box‑office decay curve.
The precedent
- Obsession is the first Focus Features film to surpass $300 million worldwide
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- Obsession surpassed $300 million worldwide
- The film’s sixth‑week domestic box office fell below $14 million
- Focus Features achieved a historic worldwide milestone
How outlets frame it
- IMDb: Highlights Obsession becoming Focus Features’ first film to exceed the $300 million worldwide threshold.
- Deadline: Notes the $300 million+ worldwide gross while emphasizing competition from domestic releases like the Backrooms and other summer titles.
- The New York Times: Frames Obsession as a key player disrupting the 2026 summer box‑office landscape.
- Forbes: Points to the weekend’s surprising domestic earnings, describing the film as “stunning again” despite a modest sixth‑week figure.
What to watch
The sub‑$14 million domestic haul may temper expectations for future mid‑budget thrillers and could influence Focus Features’ slate decisions, while the worldwide success reaffirms the film’s export potential for ancillary markets and streaming deals.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this <14m at 97%.
24h +69.4 pts
$101K traded · $53.5K in the last day · $24.8K resting liquidity · $37.8K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3
Pricing Polymarket 97%
Sources
- Obsession Worldwide Box Office: Becomes Focus Features’ First-Ever Film To Surpass The $300M Milestone imdb.com
- ‘Obsession’ Bewitches $300M+ WW; Mando & Baby Yoda Get Lost Stateside In The ‘Backrooms’ – Box Office deadline.com
- ‘Backrooms’ and ‘Obsession’ Disrupt the 2026 Summer Box Office nytimes.com
- Weekend Box Office: ‘Obsession’ Stuns Again, ‘Disclosure Day’ Leads With $44 Million forbes.com
- Box Office: ‘Scary Movie’ Stuns With $55M, ‘Masters of the Universe’ Lands at $29.3M hollywoodreporter.com
- Box Office Weekend Forecast: SCARY MOVIE VI ($45-50M+), MASTERS OF THE UNIVERSE, and AMAZING DIGITAL CIRCUS Enter a Game-Changed Summer Movie Arena Amid BACKROOMS and OBSESSION Fever – Box Office Theory boxofficetheory.com
- Friday Box Office: 'Scary Movie 6' Nabs Hefty $25M, He-Man Earns Wimpy $12M scottmendelson.substack.com
- Another low-budget film crushes an expensive action movie at the box office fortune.com
Frequently asked questions
"Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office
Polymarket prices this <14m at 97%.
What do the sources agree on?
Obsession surpassed $300 million worldwide The film’s sixth‑week domestic box office fell below $14 million Focus Features achieved a historic worldwide milestone
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 8 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.