Crowdtells

Entertainment Polymarket June 23, 2026

Toy Story 5 breaks box office records

"Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office

Polymarket prices this 158-171m at 100%.

Toy Story 5 scored the biggest opening weekend of 2026 with its domestic ticket sales. The film's success can be attributed to its return to form for Disney and Pixar after facing notable challenges in recent years. With the crowd's favored side being the correct range, and given 100%, it is clear the money expected this outcome.

Background

The film is the latest adventure for Buzz, Woody, and Jessie, and it faced the threat of modern technology. Over the period tracked, the market's odds have climbed, indicating growing confidence in the film's success.

The precedent

Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.

What the coverage agrees on

  • Toy Story 5 had the biggest opening weekend of 2026
  • The film's domestic ticket sales exceeded $159 million
  • The film's success is a return to form for Disney and Pixar

How outlets frame it

  • Forbes: The film's success may affect Disney's streaming plans for Pixar releases
  • BBC: The film's opening is a return to form for Disney and Pixar after facing notable challenges in recent years

What to watch

The film's success may affect Disney's streaming plans for Pixar releases

The numbers behind this

Polymarket prices this 158-171m at 100%.

24h +6.5 pts 7d +65.0 pts

$686K traded · $107K in the last day · $25.9K resting liquidity · $87K open interest

Resolves on: This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the va

Pricing Polymarket 100%

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Sources

Frequently asked questions

"Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office

Polymarket prices this 158-171m at 100%.

What do the sources agree on?

Toy Story 5 had the biggest opening weekend of 2026 The film's domestic ticket sales exceeded $159 million The film's success is a return to form for Disney and Pixar

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves on: This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the va

How are these odds set?

Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.

AI-written briefing grounded in 8 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.