Politics Polymarket June 25, 2026
Trump and Putin Meeting
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
Polymarket prices this No meeting by June 30 at 99%. The reporting broadly agrees.
The likelihood of a meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin before June 30 is low, given the current diplomatic landscape. The two leaders have not met recently, and with the market resolving in about 5 days, traders put the odds of no meeting at 99%. Despite attempts by other leaders like Rutte to ease tensions, the situation remains uncertain, and the lack of a scheduled meeting suggests that a encounter is unlikely.
Background
Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin are two prominent world leaders who have had a complex relationship over the years. The question of whether they will meet before June 30 is significant, given the current geopolitical tensions. The market is trying to predict the likelihood of such a meeting, with the outcome being 'No meeting by June 30' if no encounter occurs.
What the coverage agrees on
- Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin are prominent world leaders
- The two leaders have not met recently
- The market is trying to predict the likelihood of a meeting before June 30
What to watch
The market resolves in about 5 days, and any developments in the next few days could change the story, but for now, the focus is on whether a meeting will happen before June 30.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this No meeting by June 30 at 99%.
24h +0.1 pts 7d +1.6 pts
$9M traded · $113K in the last day · $472K resting liquidity · $127K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this…
Pricing Polymarket 99% Kalshi 14%
Sources
- Now Trump won't meet with Putin on Ukraine, White House official says - ABC News abcnews.com
- Putin to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping following Trump's visit pbs.org
- Days after Trump's summit in Beijing, Putin will meet with China's Xi cbsnews.com
- Trump, Putin talk of war and peace as US weighs easing Russian oil sanctions reuters.com
- Will Trump Order Putin’s Capture Next? Here’s What He Said united24media.com
Frequently asked questions
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
Polymarket prices this No meeting by June 30 at 99%. The reporting broadly agrees.
What do the sources agree on?
Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin are prominent world leaders The two leaders have not met recently The market is trying to predict the likelihood of a meeting before June 30
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this…
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.