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Markets Polymarket July 20, 2026 Coverage disputes this

GameStop's Cohen bumps eBay stake to 10 percent after rejected takeover bid

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Polymarket prices this 94% no. The coverage disputes this.

GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen is pressing forward with a campaign to acquire eBay after the online marketplace rejected an initial takeover offer, according to a report from PYMNTS.com. Cohen has since raised GameStop's ownership stake in eBay to nearly 10 percent, an SEC filing confirmed, and told IGN in no uncertain terms that the retailer is "coming for eBay one way or another." The aggressive posture follows a mid-July shareholder vote in which GameStop investors approved an increase in the company's authorized share count — a move Yahoo Finance noted was framed as enabling the proposed eBay acquisition. Bloomberg separately aired Cohen discussing the eBay bid and broader video-game software strategy. Traders put the odds of a deal closing by year's end at 94% on the "No" side, even though Cohen's public campaign and growing stake suggest he has no intention of walking away. The proposition resolves December 30, 2026, requiring an official acquisition or merger announcement by that date.

Background

Cohen, the activist investor turned GameStop CEO, has spent months publicly courting eBay, framing the online auction giant as a natural complement to GameStop's brick-and-mortar and digital gaming business. An initial offer was rebuffed, prompting Cohen to escalate through a steadily building equity stake rather than a negotiated deal — a classic activist playbook of accumulating shares to apply pressure from within. The SEC filing disclosing a near-10 percent position makes GameStop one of eBay's largest single shareholders. The shareholder vote to expand GameStop's authorized share count signals the company is preparing the financial scaffolding for a stock-based acquisition offer, though eBay's board has shown no public willingness to engage. The central question is whether Cohen can force a sale through accumulated ownership and public pressure before the December 30 resolution deadline, or whether eBay's resistance holds.

The precedent

Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.

What the coverage agrees on

  • GameStop's initial acquisition offer for eBay was rejected.
  • GameStop has built a stake of nearly 10 percent in eBay, per an SEC filing.
  • GameStop shareholders approved an increase in authorized share count tied to the eBay proposal.
  • Ryan Cohen has publicly stated his intent to pursue eBay regardless of the rejection.

How outlets frame it

  • IGN: Frames Cohen's campaign in combative, almost adversarial terms — quoting his declaration that GameStop is "coming for eBay one way or another," casting the stake increase as an escalation rather than a negotiation.
  • Yahoo Finance: Emphasizes the shareholder-vote mechanics and the after-hours stock reaction, foregrounding the financial plumbing — the expanded share count — that would enable an acquisition, rather than Cohen's rhetoric.
  • Bloomberg: Treats the eBay bid as one element of a broader Cohen strategy discussion that also covers video-game software, contextualizing the acquisition push within GameStop's wider business plans rather than as a standalone campaign.

What to watch

The next inflection point is whether Cohen continues to increase GameStop's stake above 10 percent, which could trigger additional regulatory disclosure requirements and further pressure eBay's board. Watch for any formal response from eBay's directors, a revised offer from GameStop, or a proxy-fight filing should Cohen seek board seats. The December 30 deadline means any announcement of a deal — or its absence — will settle the question by year's end.

The numbers behind this

Polymarket prices this 94% no.

24h +1.0 pts 7d +6.0 pts

$2.8M traded · $21.8K in the last day · $194K resting liquidity · $825K open interest

Resolves on: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in…

Pricing Polymarket 94%

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Sources

Frequently asked questions

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Polymarket prices this 94% no. The coverage disputes this.

What do the sources agree on?

GameStop's initial acquisition offer for eBay was rejected. GameStop has built a stake of nearly 10 percent in eBay, per an SEC filing. GameStop shareholders approved an increase in authorized share count tied to the eBay proposal. Ryan Cohen has publicly stated his intent to pursue eBay regardless of the rejection.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves on: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in…

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AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.