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Culture Kalshi July 23, 2026

David Muir broadcast names Graham Platner, not Turkey

What will David Muir say during ABC World News Tonight?

Kalshi prices this Turkey at 99%.

David Muir named Graham Platner during an ABC World News Tonight broadcast, settling the question of what the anchor would say on air. The outcome broke against the consensus, as Turkey had been the expected reference point throughout the tracking period. Coverage of the result itself is thin, with the only related reporting focusing on a separate Trump-related segment that drew strong viewer reactions. The market had swung back and forth over the tracking period before closing heavily on Turkey at 99%, a call that proved wrong.

The numbers behind this

Kalshi prices this Turkey at 99%.

$27.2K traded · $27.2K in the last day · $21.4K open interest

Resolves on: If David Muir says Turkey as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.

Pricing Kalshi 99%

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Sources

Frequently asked questions

What will David Muir say during ABC World News Tonight?

Kalshi prices this Turkey at 99%.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves on: If David Muir says Turkey as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.

How are these odds set?

Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.

AI-written briefing grounded in 1 source and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.