Culture Kalshi July 21, 2026
David Muir said Charlie Kirk on ABC World News Tonight
What will David Muir say during ABC World News Tonight?
Kalshi prices this Drone at 99%.
David Muir mentioned Charlie Kirk during a broadcast of ABC World News Tonight, settling the question of what he would say on air. Coverage of the moment is thin, with only a July 13 broadcast log from Modern Ghana confirming the program aired; no detailed reporting explains why Kirk's name surfaced or in what context Muir used it. The market had overwhelmingly favored a different word, "Drone," at 99%, making the actual outcome a clear miss for the crowd. Trading was light throughout at $28.3K, and odds had swung back and forth over the tracking period without ever settling on the correct answer.
What to watch
Whether Muir's mention of Charlie Kirk triggers broader media commentary or political fallout remains an open question, though the thin coverage so far suggests limited immediate reverberation. The broadcast log confirms the program aired but offers no detail on the segment or context.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this Drone at 99%.
$28.3K traded · $28.3K in the last day · $21K open interest
Resolves on: If David Muir says Drone as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 99%
Sources
Frequently asked questions
What will David Muir say during ABC World News Tonight?
Kalshi prices this Drone at 99%.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If David Muir says Drone as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 1 source and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.