Sports Kalshi June 24, 2026
USA faces Turkiye in World Cup
Turkiye vs USA
Kalshi prices this USA at 54%. The reporting broadly agrees.
The United States and Turkiye are set to face off in a World Cup group stage match, with the US team looking to advance to the knockout rounds. The US has been dealing with injuries, including to key player Pulisic. Traders put the US at 54%, reflecting the tight matchup expected between the two teams.
Background
The US and Turkiye are part of Group D in the World Cup, with the top two teams advancing to the knockout stage. The US has been working to overcome injuries and find its footing in the tournament.
The precedent
- The US has advanced to the knockout stage in the last two World Cups
- Turkiye has not advanced to the knockout stage since 2002
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- The US and Turkiye are part of Group D in the World Cup
- The top two teams in Group D will advance to the knockout stage
What to watch
The US and Turkiye match is scheduled for June 25, 2026.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this USA at 54%.
24h +2.0 pts
$8.2M traded · $4.1M in the last day · $6.9M open interest
Resolves on: If USA wins the Turkiye vs USA professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 54%
Sources
- How Turkey’s World Cup hopes fell apart – and rendered USMNT clash a dead rubber - The Athletic nytimes.com
- Türkiye vs. United States - Live Score - June 25, 2026 foxsports.com
- New World Cup tiebreaker rules turn USA-Turkey into dead rubber usatoday.com
- 2026 World Cup: How teams can advance to the knockout rounds espn.com
- USA vs. Turkey odds update: Experts adjust predictions for World Cup group stage match after Pulisic injury news silive.com
- 2026 World Cup results, standings and schedule: Live scores, group stage updates and how to watch sports.yahoo.com
- Türkiye vs USA World Cup Odds and Predictions defirate.com
- Turkiye vs USA Preview: Predicted Lineups, Team News & Tactical Analysis | 2026 World Cup Group D rotowire.com
Frequently asked questions
Turkiye vs USA
Kalshi prices this USA at 54%. The reporting broadly agrees.
What do the sources agree on?
The US and Turkiye are part of Group D in the World Cup The top two teams in Group D will advance to the knockout stage
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If USA wins the Turkiye vs USA professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 8 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.