Culture · Kalshi ·July 23, 2026 ·Edited by Samuel Jo Crowd ahead of press

Trump speeches tracked for Crooked Joe nickname before October cutoff

Donald Trump has kept a busy public schedule this summer, delivering speeches on election integrity and rolling out his Trump Accounts initiative, but none of the recent coverage shows him reviving the specific nickname "Crooked Joe" — the exact phrase this story turns on. CNN published an annotated transcript of his election-vulnerabilities speech last week, and ABC7 reported millions of families signing up for Trump Accounts, yet neither surfaced the moniker. Traders put the odds at 99%, even though the reporting offers no evidence he has said it lately. The window closes October 1, 2026 at 12:00 a.m. ET.

Background

"Crooked Joe" was a staple of Trump's 2024-campaign lexicon, deployed against President Joe Biden at rallies and in social-media posts. Biden's withdrawal from the race and Trump's return to office shifted the rhetorical landscape, and the nickname has appeared far less frequently since. The proposition is narrow: Trump must say "Crooked Joe" or a plural or possessive form of it before the October 1 deadline for it to resolve as Yes. With roughly 70 days remaining, the question hinges on whether Trump reaches back into his old playbook during a speech, interview, or Truth Social post.

The precedent

• Trump used "Crooked Joe" extensively during the 2024 campaign cycle as a nickname for Joe Biden, particularly at rallies and on social media.
• Trump has a well-documented pattern of assigning alliterative nicknames to political opponents, including "Crooked Hillary" for Hillary Clinton and "Sleepy Joe" for Joe Biden.

Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.

What to watch

Any upcoming Trump rally, press availability, or Truth Social post in the next ten weeks could settle the question instantly. His recent speeches have focused on election fraud claims and the Trump Accounts rollout rather than personal nicknames, so the next shift in rhetorical targets — especially if he revisits Biden or Democratic leadership — is the moment to watch. The October 1, 2026, 12:00 a.m. ET deadline is firm.

AI-written briefing grounded in 4 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.