Culture Kalshi September 12, 2026
Trump in Dublin: Will "Biden" Enter Remarks to Embassy Personnel?
What will Trump say during his remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders?
Kalshi prices this Hormuz at 99%. The reporting broadly agrees.
Donald Trump is currently in Dublin, Ireland, for a weekend visit that includes a major golf tournament at a course he owns and talks with Irish President Catherine Connolly and Prime Minister Micheál Martin. During his remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders, observers are keenly watching whether he will specifically mention "Biden." The visit has already seen Trump express a desire for a unified Ireland, a sentiment echoed by The Times and bostonglobe.com. While the focus of his trip has largely been on golf and diplomatic engagements, the content of his address to the embassy and business community remains a point of interest, with the crowd putting the probability of him saying "Biden" at 99%, reflecting a sharp +94 pts in the last 24 hours.
Background
Trump's current trip to Ireland follows a ceremony at the Pentagon commemorating the 25th anniversary of 9/11, where he also spoke. His visits abroad often draw attention for both their diplomatic substance and the impromptu comments he might make. His engagements in Dublin with Irish leadership have centered on broader discussions, including his views on Irish unification. The specific question of whether he will utter the name "Biden" in his address to embassy personnel and business leaders is a distinct point of focus for those tracking his public statements.
The precedent
- Donald Trump has frequently mentioned Joe Biden in his public remarks and rallies since 2020.
- Past presidential visits often include remarks to embassy personnel and local business communities as a standard diplomatic engagement.
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- Donald Trump is currently visiting Dublin, Ireland.
- His visit includes meetings with Irish President Catherine Connolly and Prime Minister Micheál Martin.
- Trump has expressed a desire for a unified Ireland during his visit.
How outlets frame it
- france24: Highlights that Trump's visit is largely centered around a major golf tournament he owns in Ireland, framing the diplomatic talks as part of a broader weekend visit.
- NPR: Emphasizes the formal talks Trump held with Irish President Catherine Connolly and Prime Minister Micheál Martin, noting the golf tournament as a central aspect of the visit.
What to watch
The precise content of Trump's remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders will be the immediate focus, with the event originally scheduled for September 12, 2026. The market resolves on September 26, 2026, allowing for a review of transcripts or recordings. Any direct mention of "Biden" in his prepared or extemporaneous comments during this specific address would be the key trigger.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this Hormuz at 99%.
24h +94.0 pts
$152K traded · $151K in the last day · $134K open interest
Resolves on: If Donald Trump says Hormuz as part of Remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 99%
Sources
- Trump says he’d like to see a unified Ireland as he visits for golf at his Doonbeg course bostonglobe.com
- Catherine Connolly to meet with Donald Trump during his visit to Ireland next week thejournal.ie
- Trump Defends Hosting Russia at G20 as Europeans Voice Disapproval time.com
- 'Ain't no part of bridge-building happening with this leadership': Gee questions mayor joining Embassy Suites picket line mynorthwest.com
- Donald Trump calls for a united Ireland as he visits Dublin thetimes.com
Frequently asked questions
What will Trump say during his remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders?
Kalshi prices this Hormuz at 99%. The reporting broadly agrees.
What do the sources agree on?
Donald Trump is currently visiting Dublin, Ireland. His visit includes meetings with Irish President Catherine Connolly and Prime Minister Micheál Martin. Trump has expressed a desire for a unified Ireland during his visit.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If Donald Trump says Hormuz as part of Remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.