Culture Kalshi September 27, 2026
Trump Discusses Immigration With Irish Taoiseach
✗ The market missed this — resolved Immigrant / Immigration.
What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
Kalshi prices this Golf / Golfer / Golfing at 99%.
Donald Trump discussed immigration during his bilateral meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland, rather than golf, the topic that many had anticipated. The specific details of the immigration discussion were not widely reported, but the focus on this topic during the high-profile meeting was a notable turn. Observers had heavily favored a discussion around golf, with the market showing 99% probability for it, a sentiment that ultimately did not align with the actual outcome.
What to watch
The discussion of immigration during the bilateral meeting could signal a shift in diplomatic priorities or a particular focus of the US administration regarding international relations. Future statements from both leaders may shed more light on the implications of this exchange.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this Golf / Golfer / Golfing at 99%.
24h +21.0 pts
$119K traded · $113K in the last day · $88.9K open interest
Resolves on: If Donald Trump says Golf / Golfer / Golfing as part of Bilateral Meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland on September 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 99%
Sources
Frequently asked questions
What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
Kalshi prices this Golf / Golfer / Golfing at 99%.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If Donald Trump says Golf / Golfer / Golfing as part of Bilateral Meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland on September 12, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 3 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.