Culture Kalshi August 1, 2026
Trump Thanks Iraq PM During Bilateral Meeting
What will Trump say during the Bilateral Meeting with Iraq?
Kalshi prices this Iran (3+ times) at 99%.
President Trump met with the Prime Minister of the Republic of Iraq, Ali al-Zaidi, and expressed his gratitude to him during their bilateral meeting. The decisive factor was Trump's words of appreciation, which broke with the market's expectations that he would mention Iran. Despite the market's overwhelming confidence in 'Iran (3+ times)', with odds of 99%, Trump's actual words caught the market off guard.
Background
The meeting was a key moment in the ongoing diplomatic efforts between the US and Iraq, with the two countries discussing potential oil deals and cooperation. The market had been following the lead-up to the meeting, with President Trump meeting with Saudi Defense Minister Prince Khalid bin Salman just days prior. The US had also paused its strikes on Iran for the second straight night, indicating a positive direction in talks.
What the coverage agrees on
- President Trump met with the Prime Minister of the Republic of Iraq, Ali al-Zaidi, during a bilateral meeting.
- Trump expressed gratitude to al-Zaidi during the meeting.
- The meeting was a key moment in the ongoing diplomatic efforts between the US and Iraq.
How outlets frame it
- The Jerusalem Post: The meeting between Trump and al-Zaidi was seen as a significant moment in the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, with potential implications for US-Iraq relations.
- Military.com: The meeting highlighted the post-war partnership between the US and Iraq, with 48 US-Iraq agreements worth $60 billion marking a key milestone.
What to watch
The aftermath of the meeting will be closely watched, particularly in terms of the potential impact on US-Iraq relations and the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. The Trump administration's next steps on Iran and the region will also be under scrutiny.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this Iran (3+ times) at 99%.
$48.9K traded · $48.4K in the last day · $38.8K open interest
Resolves on: If Donald Trump says Iran (3+ times) as part of Bilateral Meeting with the Prime Minister of the Republic of Iraq , then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 99%
Sources
- Donald Trump hosts Iraqi PM Ali al-Zaidi to talk oil deals, bypassing Hormuz jpost.com
- Iran rejects latest cease-fire proposal as Trump considers ‘massive attack’: report nypost.com
- U.S. pauses Iran strikes for second straight night as talks move in positive direction cbsnews.com
- 48 US-Iraq Agreements Worth $60 Billion Mark Post-War Partnership military.com
- Trump administration considers putting nuclear power plants in US waters - Hawaii Tribune-Herald hawaiitribune-herald.com
Frequently asked questions
What will Trump say during the Bilateral Meeting with Iraq?
Kalshi prices this Iran (3+ times) at 99%.
What do the sources agree on?
President Trump met with the Prime Minister of the Republic of Iraq, Ali al-Zaidi, during a bilateral meeting. Trump expressed gratitude to al-Zaidi during the meeting. The meeting was a key moment in the ongoing diplomatic efforts between the US and Iraq.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If Donald Trump says Iran (3+ times) as part of Bilateral Meeting with the Prime Minister of the Republic of Iraq , then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.