Culture Kalshi August 5, 2026
Senate Advances Todd Blanche's Attorney General Nomination
What will Todd Blanche say during his Senate Confirmation hearing?
Kalshi prices this Trump (3+ times) at 99%.
The Senate Judiciary Committee has voted to advance Todd Blanche's nomination for Attorney General, paving the way for a final vote in the full Senate. The decisive factor was the deal struck by Senator John Cornyn, which addressed concerns over a holdup on an 'anti-weaponization' fund. This move was a key victory for the Trump administration, which had been pushing for Blanche's confirmation. Despite being a heavy favorite in the market, with odds of 99% in its favor, the crowd ultimately missed the outcome, as the market's favored side, 'Trump (3+ times)', lost. The margin was not immediately clear, but the deal struck by Cornyn was seen as a crucial factor in the committee's decision.
Background
The nomination had been a contentious issue, with some senators expressing concerns over Blanche's past comments on vaccines. However, the deal struck by Cornyn helped to alleviate these concerns, and the committee ultimately voted to advance the nomination. The road to this result had been marked by back-and-forth negotiations between the Trump administration and Senate Republicans.
The precedent
- This is the second time in recent history that a Senate committee has advanced a nomination for Attorney General in the face of opposition from some senators.
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- The Senate Judiciary Committee voted to advance Todd Blanche's nomination for Attorney General.
- The decision was seen as a key victory for the Trump administration.
- The deal struck by Senator John Cornyn was a crucial factor in the committee's decision.
How outlets frame it
- The New York Times: The nomination's advancement is a significant victory for the Trump administration, but the outcome of the final vote is far from certain.
- Politico: The deal struck by Senator Cornyn has given the administration a significant boost, but the nomination still faces challenges in the full Senate.
- NPR: The committee's decision is a significant step forward for Blanche's nomination, but the final vote will be a closely watched event.
What to watch
The next step will be a final vote in the full Senate, where Blanche's nomination will need to receive a majority vote to be confirmed. The outcome is not certain, but the deal struck by Cornyn has given the administration a significant boost.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this Trump (3+ times) at 99%.
24h +28.0 pts
$51.9K traded · $46.9K in the last day · $42.7K open interest
Resolves on: If Todd Blanche says Trump (3+ times) as part of Senate Committee on the Judiciary - The Nomination of the Honorable Todd Blanche to be Attorney General of the United States , then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 99%
Sources
- Senate Judiciary Committee advances Blanche nomination, setting up a final vote npr.org
- Trump Administration Amps Up Pressure On Senate To Confirm Todd Blanche As Attorney General time.com
- Senate Republicans advance Todd Blanche nomination after ‘anti-weaponization’ fund holdup nbcnews.com
- Senate appears ready to advance Todd Blanche for attorney general after Cornyn strikes deal cnbc.com
- Todd Blanche’s attorney general nomination will advance to full US Senate vote theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions
What will Todd Blanche say during his Senate Confirmation hearing?
Kalshi prices this Trump (3+ times) at 99%.
What do the sources agree on?
The Senate Judiciary Committee voted to advance Todd Blanche's nomination for Attorney General. The decision was seen as a key victory for the Trump administration. The deal struck by Senator John Cornyn was a crucial factor in the committee's decision.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If Todd Blanche says Trump (3+ times) as part of Senate Committee on the Judiciary - The Nomination of the Honorable Todd Blanche to be Attorney General of the United States , then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.