Companies Kalshi June 18, 2026 Crowd ahead of press
GameStop proposes acquiring eBay for $55 Billion
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
Kalshi prices this 86% no. The market is more confident than the current reporting.
GameStop, led by Ryan Cohen, has proposed acquiring eBay for $55 billion, with the company offering more than $50 billion in cash and stock. The move has generated significant attention, with eBay rejecting GameStop's $56 billion takeover bid, calling it 'neither credible nor attractive'. Despite this, GameStop's plans to acquire eBay seem to be moving forward, with the company increasing its stake in eBay to more than 6%. Traders put 86% on the deal not happening, even though the reporting suggests GameStop is serious about the acquisition.
Market lensThe market's odds of 86% on a 'No' outcome suggest traders are skeptical about the deal happening, despite GameStop's efforts to acquire eBay.
Background
GameStop, an American video game, consumer electronics, and gaming merchandise retailer, has been looking to expand its business through acquisitions. eBay, a global e-commerce platform, has been a potential target for some time. The proposed acquisition has sparked debate about the potential for growth and synergy between the two companies. The market resolves in about 197 days, with 86% currently favoring a 'No' outcome.
What the coverage agrees on
- GameStop has proposed acquiring eBay
- eBay has rejected GameStop's takeover bid
- GameStop has increased its stake in eBay
Where sources diverge
- The credibility and attractiveness of GameStop's offer
How outlets frame it
- CNBC: EBay rejects GameStop's $56 billion takeover bid, calling it 'neither credible nor attractive'
- The New York Times: GameStop Proposes Acquiring eBay for $55 Billion
What to watch
The next step in the proposed acquisition will be to see if GameStop and eBay can come to an agreement on the terms of the deal. If GameStop announces an agreement to acquire eBay before Jan 1, 2027, the market will resolve to Yes.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this 86% no.
24h +1.0 pts
$253K traded · $5.4K in the last day · $105K open interest
Resolves on: If GameStop announces an agreement to acquire eBay before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 86%
Sources
- How GameStop (NYSE: GME) Plans to Acquire Ebay – And How it Could Be a Success foreignpolicyjournal.com
- GameStop and Ryan Cohen Still Want to Buy eBay. An Exclusive Interview. barrons.com
- GameStop Proposes Acquiring eBay for $55 Billion nytimes.com
- GameStop offers more than $50 billion in cash and stock to acquire eBay marketplace.org
- GameStop Jumps 10% on Record Profit, $2 Billion Buyback as eBay Bid Battle Intensifies 247wallst.com
- GameStop increases stake in eBay to more than 6% reuters.com
- EX-99.2 sec.gov
- EBay rejects GameStop's $56 billion takeover bid, calling it 'neither credible nor attractive' cnbc.com
Frequently asked questions
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
Kalshi prices this 86% no. The market is more confident than the current reporting.
What do the sources agree on?
GameStop has proposed acquiring eBay eBay has rejected GameStop's takeover bid GameStop has increased its stake in eBay
Where do the sources disagree?
The credibility and attractiveness of GameStop's offer
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If GameStop announces an agreement to acquire eBay before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 8 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.