Culture Polymarket September 6, 2026
MrBeast's Next Video: Will It Hit 90 Million Views?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
Polymarket prices this 90M+ at 41%. The reporting broadly agrees.
The YouTube community is anticipating the release of MrBeast's next video, with significant attention on whether it will surpass 90 million views within its initial seven days. This threshold represents a considerable benchmark for content creators on the platform. The market, which resolves in about six days, has seen its odds fluctuate, indicating uncertainty among observers regarding the video's potential reach. Currently, the probability of hitting "90M+" is roughly a coin-flip, with 41% reflecting this divided outlook.
Background
MrBeast, whose real name is Jimmy Donaldson, is one of YouTube's most prominent and highest-earning content creators, known for his elaborate stunts, philanthropic endeavors, and high-production-value videos. His channel boasts a massive global following, consistently drawing tens of millions of views on new uploads. The question of whether his next video will achieve 90 million views in its first week highlights the ongoing fascination with the scale and impact of his content.
The precedent
- MrBeast has previously achieved videos with over 100 million views, though specific first-week metrics vary.
- In 2024, MrBeast was listed among the top 10 highest-earning YouTubers.
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- MrBeast is a top-earning and highly viewed YouTuber.
- His content often involves large-scale productions.
What to watch
The key event to watch is the release of MrBeast's next YouTube video, which must be posted by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to resolve this specific outcome. Following its upload, attention will immediately turn to the views counter over the subsequent seven days. The market will officially resolve on September 12, 2026, based on the final view count at that time.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this 90M+ at 41%.
24h +28.5 pts
$43.4K traded · $42.1K in the last day · $18.6K resting liquidity · $15.1K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most…
Pricing Polymarket 41%
Sources
Frequently asked questions
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
Polymarket prices this 90M+ at 41%. The reporting broadly agrees.
What do the sources agree on?
MrBeast is a top-earning and highly viewed YouTuber. His content often involves large-scale productions.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most…
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 2 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.