Culture Polymarket July 27, 2026
MrBeast's next video views under 20 million
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
Polymarket prices this <20M at 100%.
The next MrBeast video on YouTube garnered fewer than 20 million views on its first day, a relatively modest start to what is typically a highly viewed video. The video's modest start can be attributed to the fact that MrBeast has been focusing on granting wishes for kids battling cancer, a charitable cause that may not have drawn as much attention as his usual stunts. The market, which had odds of 100% in favor of the video getting under 20 million views, was correct in its prediction, with the odds moving +86.2 pts over the past seven days and +55.9 pts in the last 24 hours. The market saw $179K in total trading, with $70.7K of that in the past day alone.
Background
Over the period we tracked it, MrBeast has been focusing on charitable causes, including granting wishes for kids battling cancer, and has been collaborating with other high-profile figures such as LeBron James.
What the coverage agrees on
- MrBeast's next video on YouTube garnered fewer than 20 million views on its first day
- The video's modest start can be attributed to MrBeast's focus on charitable causes
- The market predicted the outcome correctly
How outlets frame it
- YouTube: The video's modest start may indicate a shift in MrBeast's focus towards more philanthropic endeavors
- The Sunday Guardian: MrBeast's focus on charitable causes may not have drawn as much attention as his usual stunts
What to watch
The consequences of this result are not immediately clear, but it may indicate a shift in MrBeast's focus towards more philanthropic endeavors.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this <20M at 100%.
24h +55.9 pts 7d +86.2 pts
$179K traded · $70.7K in the last day · $227K resting liquidity · $67.4K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to…
Pricing Polymarket 100%
Sources
- YouTuber MrBeast marries Thea Booysen in British Virgin Islands bbc.com
- MrBeast’s Newest Battle: Granting Wishes for Kids Battling Cancer (With Assist From LeBron James) uk.news.yahoo.com
- MrBeast Marries Longtime Partner Thea Booysen: How Rich Is The World’s Biggest YouTuber? A Look At His Net Worth sundayguardianlive.com
- Inside MrBeast And His Wife $2 Millions Wedding youtu.be
Frequently asked questions
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
Polymarket prices this <20M at 100%.
What do the sources agree on?
MrBeast's next video on YouTube garnered fewer than 20 million views on its first day The video's modest start can be attributed to MrBeast's focus on charitable causes The market predicted the outcome correctly
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to…
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 4 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.