Crowdtells

YouTube Polymarket July 1, 2026

MrBeast Video Nears 96-Hour View Count Milestone

# of views of MrBeast video day 4?

Polymarket prices this 48–49M at 91%. The reporting broadly agrees.

The latest YouTube video from internet sensation MrBeast, titled "Which Stranger Would You Chain Yourself To For $250,000?", is concluding its first 96 hours online, drawing significant attention to its total view count. The video's performance is being closely watched as it aims to reach the 48–49 million view mark within this timeframe. While official reporting on the video's trajectory is still developing, the collective sentiment suggests a strong finish, with prediction markets currently putting the probability of hitting 48–49 million views at 91%, indicating a widely anticipated outcome.

Background

MrBeast, whose real name is Jimmy Donaldson, has become one of YouTube's most prominent content creators, known for his elaborate stunts, philanthropic endeavors, and high-production-value videos. His channel consistently garners massive viewership, with previous videos, such as '7 Days Stranded at Sea,' breaking YouTube records. The current video in question continues his trend of large-scale challenges, offering a substantial cash prize to participants. The specific question at hand is whether this particular video will accumulate 48–49 million views within its initial 96 hours, a benchmark that reflects its immediate viral impact and audience engagement.

The precedent

Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.

What the coverage agrees on

  • MrBeast is a highly popular YouTube content creator.
  • His videos often involve elaborate challenges and large prizes.
  • His channel consistently achieves high view counts.

What to watch

The final view count for "Which Stranger Would You Chain Yourself To For $250,000?" will be officially recorded on MrBeast's YouTube channel as the 96-hour window closes around July 1, 2026. Observers will be monitoring the views counter closely to see if it lands within the 48–49 million range, confirming the strong performance suggested by early indicators.

The numbers behind this

Polymarket prices this 48–49M at 91%.

$56.8K traded · $56.8K in the last day · $65.8K resting liquidity · $42.5K open interest

Resolves on: This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Which Stranger Would You Chain Yourself To For $250,000?", which can be found here:…

Pricing Polymarket 91%

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Sources

Frequently asked questions

# of views of MrBeast video day 4?

Polymarket prices this 48–49M at 91%. The reporting broadly agrees.

What do the sources agree on?

MrBeast is a highly popular YouTube content creator. His videos often involve elaborate challenges and large prizes. His channel consistently achieves high view counts.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves on: This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Which Stranger Would You Chain Yourself To For $250,000?", which can be found here:…

How are these odds set?

Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.

AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.